**BREAKING MOUNTAIN STATE POLL** Manchin 53% Morrissey 47%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://poppolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/WV-Statewide-Survey-Topline-Results-October-2018.pdf

[hlthe2b]

1. Manchin needs to win, tepid endorsement or no...

[aeromanKC]

2. Too Close

Single digits is too close. It was double digits last week. Come on Manchin, bring it home!!

[Garrett78]

3. I don't think the Kavanaugh vote helped him.

[Staph]

4. The Kavanaugh vote hurt him. Big time.

I was at a fundraiser last night for a friend running for the West Virginia house of delegates. The folks there were universally angry with Joe.

Some were talking about voting for the independent, or leaving the Senate race vote blank. I think we talked them down off the ledge, but after November, Manchin won't be able to get elected dogcatcher in this state.

[Garrett78]

5. I never bought into the notion that he had to vote to confirm.

[Staph]

6. Once Collins voted, Manchin's vote didn't matter.

He seems to think that hardcore republicans would vote for him if he supported Kavanaugh. He severely underestimated how furious West Virginia Democrats would be.

[Hortensis]

7. Doubt it. Whatever he did, he'd win some votes, lose some.

What he needed to do was calculated as carefully as he and his team could manage. I think we should assume they knew a lot more about this than any of us.

[Garrett78]

8. The polls are not going in his direction. Campaigns do miscalculate frequently.

[Hortensis]

9. Yes. Obviously, they try their earnest best.