General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRachel is a news caster so her job is to know things like this
Democrats have way more seats up this year than the GOP and way more at risk incumbents. There are 7 toss up seats, one is a GOP incumbent, 4 are Democratic incumbents, 2 are GOP open seats. Four seats lean Dem, all four are Dem incumbents. Two are lean GOP one GOP incumbent and one Democratic incumbent. Likely Democrats, 3 incumbent Democrats. Likely GOP, 1 GOP incumbent. The rest are safe. So to summarize. 4 of our incumbents are in toss up seats, four have slight but steady leads, one has a slight but steady deficit. The GOP has one incumbent in a toss up race and one in a sight but steady lead. Rachel knows or should know this. Yet she opened her show telling us that the GOP has the same incentive to campaign as we do. I still don't think the deal about judges should have been made but one can make that point without being dishonest. It is nothing short of dishonest to pretend that the GOP needs to campaign as badly as we do. They don't. That is one reason that deal happened.
I used real clear politics ratings. Nelson, McCaskill, Donnelly, and Tester are toss ups. Manchin, Baldwin, Menendez are lean Dem and Heitcamp is lean GOP. On the GOP side, Heller is toss up and Cruz is lean GOP.
unblock
(52,244 posts)So democrats benefit from campaigning a bit more than republicans benefit from campaigning.
But the real problem is that if the senate is in session, democrats need to be there to prevent republicans from doing rotten stuff. A few republicans can go campaign even if the senate is in sessions without fear of democrats being able to do anything. That's a key advantage of having a senate majority.
brooklynite
(94,591 posts)Republicans want to campaign because they want to protect and expand their Senate majority, and if the can it will give them an excuse to offset losing the House.
dsc
(52,162 posts)they have one endangered incumbent.