The States Where Democrats Or Republicans Could Seize Full Control Of Government

[RandySF]

Let’s start with the states where Democrats could gain full control over policymaking. In Colorado, Democrats don’t look like they’re going to lose either the governor’s office or state House, so they just need to flip two seats in the state Senate (18-16 Republican) to take full control. According to the Colorado Sun, the two parties are already on pace to spend $7.5 million in just five competitive Senate districts. Likewise, the state Senate is Democrats’ only missing piece in New York; there are actually 32 Democrats in the chamber to 31 Republicans, but Democrat Simcha Felder caucuses with Republicans to give the GOP the majority. With several Republican-held seats in danger, however, Democrats will probably capture a majority wide enough to withstand any potential party-switching.

The Republican trifecta in Michigan is also at risk of going full blue. The median seat (going by how it voted in the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections) in both chambers of the legislature is quite Republican, according to Daily Kos Elections, but with Democrat Gretchen Whitmer doing well in the gubernatorial race, the party is optimistic about picking up the necessary 10 state House seats on her coattails. The state Senate is more daunting at 27-10 Republican, but 11 Republicans are term-limited out of competitive seats, giving Democrats a golden opportunity. In Maine, which currently has divided government, the governorship, state Senate and state House could all go either way, but in this environment, the Democratic way is more likely.

Finally, competitive gubernatorial races give Democrats a good shot at achieving trifectas in three other states — Illinois, Nevada and New Mexico. The party already has safe majorities in all three legislatures.



https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-states-where-democrats-or-republicans-could-seize-full-control-of-government/

[beachbum bob]

1. Illinois will be in firm democratic hands but that does not mean we will see

problems solved. We have a roadblock with democratic leader in the legislature..

[meadowlark5]

2. So Fivethirtyeight is predicting Desantis to win Florida gov?

I thought Gillem was polling higher than Desantis.

[quaker bill]

4. That is not what the article says

They hold Gillum to be ahead and think flipping the FL senate is doable. They find flipping the FL House a possibility, but a long shot as we need to flip 20 seats to get it. We are running good candidates so it will come down to outstanding GOTV, a merely good effort will not be enough, but an outstanding effort may get it done.

[catbyte]

3. I live in Michigan, and nothing would be sweeter. Republicans have dominated the state

Senate since 1983, and the state House since 1997, except for a short majority between 2007 & 2011. It's been a goddamned disaster. Even when we had a Democratic governor, the Republican-controlled legislature was more an agent of obstruction than anything else. The Republicans have been in complete control since 2011, and they've done nothing to help our citizens. They gave us Right to Fire, taxing the disabled & retired to fund a $1.88B tax cut for corporations, gave us the Emergency Manager debacles, overrode citizen will concerning wolf hunts, they poisoned Flint, allowed our roads to crumble, ad nauseum. In some counties, they've actually pulverized paved roads, turning them into gravel because there weren't enough funds for maintaining the asphalt. Schools are suffering, the environment is suffering. People are angry. I know I am.

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