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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRepublicans In Shock As Only 25% of Midterm Voters Support Trump
https://www.politicususa.com/2018/09/16/republican-polling-found-that-only-25-of-midterm-voters-support-trump.htmlRepublicans In Shock As Only 25% of Midterm Voters Support Trump
Republican pollsters and strategists met with the White House and warned them that the issues dont matter because the midterm election is all about how voters feel about Trump.
The AP obtained a copy of a presentation that was given to Trump in early September:
https://apnews.com/63c4fccca46841bdad47257f9776c361/Grim-warnings-for-White-House,-Republicans-ahead-of-election
Grim warnings for White House, Republicans ahead of election
At the White House, anxiety over the midterms has been on the rise for months as polls increasingly show a challenging environment for the GOP and heightened Democratic enthusiasm. The sheer number of competitive races in both the House and Senate is stretching cash reserves and forcing tough calculations about where to deploy resources and surrogates. And there are growing fears that the coalition of voters that delivered Trump to the White House will not come out for midterms.
Even if those voters do show up in large numbers, Republicans could still come up short. The polling presented to White House officials, which was commissioned by the Republican National Committee, showed that Trumps loyal supporters make up about one-quarter of the electorate. Another quarter is comprised of Republicans who like Trumps policies but not the president himself and do not appear motivated to back GOP candidates. And roughly half of expected midterm voters are Democrats who are energized by their opposition to the president.
Trump Is Motivating Democrats More Than Republicans
Opposition to Trump is motivating Democrats more than support for Trump is motivating Republicans. Trump made the 2016 election all about Hillary Clinton, so 2018 is the first time that he has been the focus of voter ire on the ballot. Trump has tried his best to change the subject. He rants about the Mueller investigation, declares the press the enemy of the people, and has continued to try to divide Americans on immigration, but nothing has worked because this election is all about Trump.
Trump is motivating Democrats more than Republicans. It is Democrats who have been inspired by the Trump presidency to get to the polls and vote. The 2016 election reminded Democrats of the urgency of the moment and the consequences of not showing up on Election Day. Trumps base of core support has gotten smaller since he took office.
If Democrats follow through and vote in November, the midterm election is going to be a bloodbath for Republicans.
Amaryllis
(9,525 posts)MustLoveBeagles
(11,634 posts)Amaryllis
(9,525 posts)MustLoveBeagles
(11,634 posts)We don't want to get caught flat footed again.
Pluvious
(4,315 posts)Along with the Russian Troll Army, and RW Hate radio/video.
regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)...I remember that, two weeks before the 2016 election, the overall consensus was that, not only was Trump dead candidate walking, but Republican candidates everywhere were being advised to distance themselves in order to save their own seats. Democrats were considered to have a better than even chance to recapture the Senate, and a real shot at doing the same in the House. There was even a lot of talk about Democrats expanding their base to capture reliably-red states like Georgia and Arizona.
Remember how you felt the day after that election? Unless you want that same what happened? feeling this time around, too, ignore these forecasts and VOTE!!!
renate
(13,776 posts)Very well said!
proglib217
(88 posts)Blue_true
(31,261 posts)I don't canvass, but good tidings to those that do.
tiredtoo
(2,949 posts)We all must do everything we can to get out the vote. Not a time for squabbling over who is a Democrat and who is not. Now is the time to vote for all the folks running on the Democratic ticket. We can sort our differences after we regain control.
Duppers
(28,127 posts)dalton99a
(81,570 posts)Andy823
(11,495 posts)Trump only had around 29 or so percent of the "die hard" trumper vote. Over 40 percent never bothered to vote. I keep hearing 1/3 of voters support trump, but I never bought that figure. We have to remember if Putin had not got involved, trump would have lost. 25% might be on the high end. I keep hearing that more and more who did vote for him are starting to see him for what he really is. They may not vote for the Democrat on Election Day, but a lot of them might just sit home and not vote at all, that would make things even better for a blue wave.
I do agree that we have to get out the voters. When Democrats get out and vote we win. Sitting home and thinking there is no need to vote, for whatever reason is not an option. I really think the vast majority who did that in 2016 learned their lesson and they won't make that mistake again.
trueblue2007
(17,238 posts)Demovictory9
(32,475 posts)EricMaundry
(1,619 posts)Maybe you do, too.
Kick.