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sadbear

(4,340 posts)
2. As "powerful" as he is in the House...
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 01:12 PM
Aug 2012

it's hard to see how his constituents would vote him out. Of course, if he hasn't delivered any pork to his district, maybe they are upset with him. Anybody know?

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
3. Ryan's been seen as a darling of various Wisconsin conservative groups
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 01:19 PM
Aug 2012

My daughter, as a memeber of American's for Prosperity, thinks he's godlike, and capable of teaching republicans how to walk on water.

dragonlady

(3,577 posts)
4. From an interview with his challenger, Rob Zerban
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 01:22 PM
Aug 2012

Rob has been campaigning for over a year, as I recall, and has a much more sophisticated campaign than recent Democrats who ran against Ryan. Here is some explanation from Rob. The link has more from him about what he stands for (he's progressive).

A big shift has taken place in the way people feel about Paul Ryan. Social Security and Medicare are “the third rail” of politics meaning you get shocked if you touch them. This happened to Ryan. While Ryan has gotten 60% support in the past, he is now polling easily in the 40s after our message is heard. Independents prefer me by a 3 to 1 margin. Ryan will move even lower because national Democrats, including President Obama, have taken a strong stand to protect retirement security and our social safety net. The more Democrats focus their fire on Ryan, the more people in the district become aware of his radical agenda. It also doesn’t help that Ryan has presided over one of the most unpopular Congresses in history with 91% disapproval.

The reason Ryan has been able to win is because he hasn’t had a strong Democratic challenger. The First District of Wisconsin was, and is, a seat Democrats can win. This district was previously represented by Democrats including Les Aspin, Clinton’s Defense Secretary, and Peter Barca who is a leading legislator now in state government. The district also supported Obama in 2008 with 52% of the vote. Ryan had opponents before that raised less than $20,000. There is nothing wrong with good people running for office, but against someone like Ryan, it takes a much larger effort than anyone can do on their own. It will take progressives across this country to come together to defeat Ryan. I believe we could have won this election in 2008 against Ryan if we had tried. I am here to make sure we don’t waste that opportunity again.

http://blueamerica.crooksandliars.com/howie-klein/blue-america-welcomes-rob-zerban


http://www.robzerban.com/ (includes "Donate" button!)

senseandsensibility

(17,157 posts)
6. Good info, thanks.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 01:29 PM
Aug 2012

The info at the link says that he is polling in the forties. Does that mean that Rob is polling higher than that? He sounds like a great guy.

EC

(12,287 posts)
8. This is the first time we've had someone
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 02:46 PM
Aug 2012

serious run against him. The guy that kept running before was a bit of a clown. A nice guy, but weird and never could have won. But because of him, no one else would get in.

But Rob has a real chance just by being serious about it and actually doing the work.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
10. He's still running. He has almost 4x as much money as his dem challenger
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 02:50 PM
Aug 2012

he won with 64% of the vote in 2010. what makes you say he's already lost his seat?

senseandsensibility

(17,157 posts)
13. Are there any current polls?
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 04:30 PM
Aug 2012

What makes you so sure? I'm not doubting you, just wondering what you are basing this on.

 

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)
14. I'm too tired to look it up, but it was all over the news today. Ryan can't win.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 05:18 PM
Aug 2012

His only hope is to go down in history as another failed VP candidate for a failed P candidate. At least he won't be lost in the noise, but he's still an asshole.

 

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)
16. Check out the V&M forum. There are a lot of clips of him getting booed by constituents.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 05:22 PM
Aug 2012

He's not polling well and is unlikely to keep his seat. His only hope is to try to hang onto the very short t-shirt tails of rMoney for VP.

undeterred

(34,658 posts)
12. He has more money in his war chest than almost anyone in the House.
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 02:59 PM
Aug 2012

He's unpopular with the Dems in his district (they call him little Bush) but I think the Reps love him.

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