Across the board in FL, more GOP primary votes than Dem votes

[Roland99]

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/28/us/elections/florida-primary-elections.html

GOTV efforts need to increase in all districts.

Ack!

[RandySF]

1. Would Florida really vote for someone as toxic as Disantis?

[Roland99]

2. North of Orlando and the wealthier snowbirds of SW FL?

Heck yeah

[octoberlib]

5. The retirees with Trump stickers on their golf carts

[octoberlib]

3. Here's another way to look at it

Link to tweet

Less impressive margin for Rs when you look at 2016 prez primary.

2016
R: 2.36 m
D: 1.71 m

2018
R: 1.61 m
D: 1.49 m

Ds at 87% of prez primary turnout. Rs at 68%.

[Roland99]

6. A positive direction but losing by 1 is the same as losing by 100,000

[Dawson Leery]

8. kick

[uponit7771]

13. Hmmmm, how can GOTV increase in FL?

[octoberlib]

16. I don't live there but with Independents being able to vote , it will help. Plus it's the

primaries. I just heard Gillum on CNN and he's experienced, knows his facts and figures and knows how to talk to people. Very motivational.

[KCDebbie]

4. I noticed that, too. The Rs have about 200k more primary votes than the Dems...

[Whiskeytide]

7. Fla is a closed primary state.

The no party affiliation status has grown at a faster rate than both Repubs and Dems in recent years. That’s where 2018 will be won or lost.

[Roland99]

9. That's a good point. Thank you

My wife is unaffiliated. She certainly won’t vote for DeSantis

[NightWatcher]

12. But I'd rather be freaking out and concern trolling!!!

Damn your facts and reasoning.

[uponit7771]

14. Thanks, makes sense and with Dem voters increase over 2016 primary Nov looks promising

[Garrett78]

10. FWIW, here's what Nate Silver has to say about this:

NATE SILVER11:07 PM
Leah, in general I don’t think there’s a lot of value in comparing turnout numbers. Maybe in the aggregate across lots of states/districts, it tells you something. But it’s a pretty noisy, quirky indicator in individual states IMO.

[world wide wally]

11. Voter suppression is alive and thriving in Florida

[Awsi Dooger]

15. It is not suppression

The Republican turnout machine here in Florida is relentless, both on the ground and on the phone and in the mail. I'm sure that includes social media also.

I have two relatives who are registered Republicans. Two years ago one of them lived in my house. We were bombarded every day with flyers and phone calls and knocks on the door. Fortunately she moved away but for a long time I still got the leftover contacts. Now I visit the other GOP relative and she gets all of the familiar treatment.

Plus in my neighborhood I see the GOP canvassers going door to door all the time. It has been absent during the primary but I'm sure it will begin soon, maybe this week.

There is nothing remotely comparable on the Democratic side. The voters here have to do it mostly on their own. I'm sure there are Democratic GOTV workers from Florida on this site who will resent and argue with that, but I can only go by what I experience. In suburban Miami where I live the ratio is at least 15/1 and that is on the low end.

It is basically every weekday afternoon versus never. I'll be shooing away the Republican door to door crew very soon. Let's see, I better brush off my typical two lines, "I would never vote for a Republican in my life. Get out of here."

[TheRealNorth]

17. I also wonder if anyone has ever looked at whether "snowbirds"

are voting in more than one state. If anything, that's a BS talking point to throw back at Republicans.