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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTX-SEN: Cruz leads by 1 point in new Emerson poll.
Boston, MA (August 27, 2018) --- A new Emerson College e-Poll finds the US Senate race neck and neck with Senator Ted Cruz at 38% and US Rep Beto ORourke at 37%; 4% are voting for someone else and 21% were undecided. In the Governor race, Gov. Greg Abbott has a 20 point advantage- 48% to 28% for Lupe Valdez a former sheriff of Dallas County, 3% were voting for someone else and 20% were undecided. The e-Poll was conducted 8/22-8/25, +/- 4.4 percentage points.
There is a stark difference in voter perception between the two Republican candidates running for re-election. Abbott has a 47% favorable and 33% unfavorable with 18% neutral and 2% never heard of him, Cruz has a 38% favorable and 44% unfavorable with 18% neutral and less than 1% have never heard of him.
The disparities in popularity and in the two elections appear to be driven by Independent voters. Ted Cruz has a 57% unfavorable rating among independents and a 25% favorable rating, conversely, Abbott, the other Republicans has a 41% unfavorable and 37% favorable rating among independents. These numbers play out in the ballot test where ORourke leads Cruz 45% to 25% among independents, while Abbott leads Valdez 38% to 27% among independents.
Adding to Cruzs problem is that he faces a popular opponent, Beto ORourke has a 37% favorable and 25% unfavorable, 27% were neutral, while 11% had not heard of him.
There is a generational divide between Cruz and ORourke voters. Among 18-34 year olds, ORourke leads by 19 points (47% to 28%); among 35-54 he leads by 8 points (45% to 37%), Cruz has a 14 point lead with those 55-74 (47% to 33%), and the incumbent Senator leads by 22 points among those over 75 (39% to 17%).
https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-tx-aug2018-pr.pdf
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)Although I'm not sure what to make of it with 21 percent undecided.
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)As Joy Reid said, yesterday, Beto has that certain political "X factor."
As Howard Dean Tweeted:
"This guy so outclasses Ted Cruz. If Texas votes Cruz back in over Beto, they get what they deserve. O Rourke is what an American political leader should be. Our country is in deep trouble because there are not enough people like this in DC."
Link to tweet
Sounds like a Senator O'Rourke could be a future POTUS contender.
This race certainly looks like a possible Senate Dem pickup. I hope fellow DU-ers will join me in chipping in a few bucks for Beto's campaign.
RandySF
(58,911 posts)gratuitous
(82,849 posts)Some "independent" political action committee should air this footage in a series of ads:
JaneQPublic
(7,113 posts)"I like Ted Cruz better than most other senators do... and I hate him."
Gothmog
(145,321 posts)Brother Buzz
(36,444 posts)GOTV
That being said, reading that poll is certainly eye candy!
Dem_4_Life
(1,765 posts)I am guessing from conversations I have had with republicans that 50% of them are voting for Beto and from conversations with Independents that 75% of them are voting for Beto. Not scientific polling LOL just my personal experience with people I run across.