Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

GetRidOfThem

(869 posts)
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 08:36 AM Aug 2018

I have a bad feeling about the Manafart trial...

Defense is exuding onfidence, judge is berating prosecution, does not sound like a good picture...

Could become an embarrassment for Mueller, which is what we don't need right now...

(Hope I'm wrong...)

38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
I have a bad feeling about the Manafart trial... (Original Post) GetRidOfThem Aug 2018 OP
Your concern is noted. lamp_shade Aug 2018 #1
Defense is posturing because they have nothing else NightWatcher Aug 2018 #2
Defence 101 PaddyIrishman Aug 2018 #14
Desperation move to say nothing incriminating and thus hope for a pardon. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Aug 2018 #36
The silver lining is that... GetRidOfThem Aug 2018 #3
No it won't. former9thward Aug 2018 #12
There are a lot of separate counts MaryMagdaline Aug 2018 #4
That's my thinking too Yupster Aug 2018 #22
The tax charges are especially hard to beat marylandblue Aug 2018 #5
Nope. former9thward Aug 2018 #13
Yes, I understand but I am just thinking from common sense marylandblue Aug 2018 #20
Absolutely. Manafort had 31 foreign bank accounts DeminPennswoods Aug 2018 #24
He did know what he was doing. He's not an idiot, and he deliberately hid the accounts. pnwmom Aug 2018 #23
Agree. And the fact that he characterized a substantial amount of $ as income on day X, spooky3 Aug 2018 #28
They showed he knew. He talked (emailed) about and used those accounts often. bettyellen Aug 2018 #31
Kabuki theatre. You ALWAYS want to act like you're exuding confidence The Velveteen Ocelot Aug 2018 #6
This is exactly right! PunksMom Aug 2018 #8
Think the defense is posturing for a pardon or a deal with Mueller bigbrother05 Aug 2018 #7
The best time for a deal is before trial, an after-conviction deal isn't going to be with good terms PoliticAverse Aug 2018 #29
Relax... ADX Aug 2018 #9
Why do people post garbage like this? manor321 Aug 2018 #10
Why do you call posts expressing opinions and asking for responses "garbage?" LAS14 Aug 2018 #17
The reason why I post "garbage like this" is because I am worried GetRidOfThem Aug 2018 #25
He won't be acquitted... kentuck Aug 2018 #11
It doesn't matter rainbowsnunicorns Aug 2018 #15
Exactly how Trump wants you to react. There are more trials to come.... bettyellen Aug 2018 #34
Too many charges on the table for him to walk on all Lee-Lee Aug 2018 #16
I think you're wrong PatSeg Aug 2018 #18
I hope you are right... GetRidOfThem Aug 2018 #26
I agree that DUers have been disappointed or shocked before and so it makes spooky3 Aug 2018 #32
Yes, I know what you mean PatSeg Aug 2018 #37
They didn't put up any defense for a number of the charges. Adrahil Aug 2018 #19
I'm in the metro Detroit area when Kwame Kilpatrick was on trial for fed charges maryellen99 Aug 2018 #21
After Nov. 2016, I, too am not all that confident. riversedge Aug 2018 #27
I see it differently. I don't think underthematrix Aug 2018 #30
The "winning" is over in the legitimate courts saidsimplesimon Aug 2018 #33
We will see. Demsrule86 Aug 2018 #35
So it did not happen, but nearly did... GetRidOfThem Aug 2018 #38

NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)
2. Defense is posturing because they have nothing else
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 08:42 AM
Aug 2018

Their lack of a presentation for defense is a desperate measure I've seen attempted several times but never successfully.

Watch trump. If he loses his mind and does something crazy to distract, you'll know he's feeling the pressure.

PaddyIrishman

(110 posts)
14. Defence 101
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:07 AM
Aug 2018

When the law is on your side, pound the law

When the facts are on your side, pound the facts

When neither law nor facts are on your side, pound the table.

former9thward

(32,017 posts)
12. No it won't.
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:03 AM
Aug 2018

Appeals are made on disagreements on the law and court precedent. The jury does not decide those. The jury only decides the facts. Appellate courts do not revisit the facts.

MaryMagdaline

(6,855 posts)
4. There are a lot of separate counts
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 08:52 AM
Aug 2018

Would be tough to beat even half of them.

If one or two jurors decide to hang the jury, they would have their work cut out (so many counts) and the other jurors could be tough to ignore.

Yupster

(14,308 posts)
22. That's my thinking too
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:33 AM
Aug 2018

If he gets acquitted on 10 of 18 counts, that still leaves many, many years in jail.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
5. The tax charges are especially hard to beat
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 09:00 AM
Aug 2018

He blames other people for messing up his taxes. But we all pay tax and we know what it means when you sign your tax form.

former9thward

(32,017 posts)
13. Nope.
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:05 AM
Aug 2018

Income tax law is different than many other types of law. To violate the law the prosecution must show the defendant knew what he was doing when the tax forms were submitted. The must show he knew he was violating the law.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
20. Yes, I understand but I am just thinking from common sense
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:25 AM
Aug 2018

Jurors have experience with taxes and accountants. They know their own income, they prepare their own taxes or they know what they told their accountant, so they are starting with the assumption that Manafort should do the same. They are not so experienced with shell corporations and international wire transfers, so other charges may be harder for them to understand.

DeminPennswoods

(15,286 posts)
24. Absolutely. Manafort had 31 foreign bank accounts
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:40 AM
Aug 2018

He used wire transfers from them to pay for many of his purchases. It's hard to argue that he "just forgot" to check off the Form 1040 box that asks if you have any foreign financial accounts. Manafort's accountants testified they were not told/did not know of his foreign bank accounts. When you sign your federal tax return, you are saying that what's in it is true and accurate. We all have that shared experience.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
23. He did know what he was doing. He's not an idiot, and he deliberately hid the accounts.
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:37 AM
Aug 2018

He deliberately signed forms that included a check in a box indicating he had NO accounts.

Once might have been an error. But he did this over and over -- on purpose, as part of a pattern.

spooky3

(34,456 posts)
28. Agree. And the fact that he characterized a substantial amount of $ as income on day X,
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 05:00 PM
Aug 2018

and as a loan on day Y, when it would benefit him to do so, suggests strongly that he knew exactly what the implications were of underreporting income on his tax forms.

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,719 posts)
6. Kabuki theatre. You ALWAYS want to act like you're exuding confidence
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 09:35 AM
Aug 2018

no matter how shitty you really think the trial went. Lawyers are also actors.

bigbrother05

(5,995 posts)
7. Think the defense is posturing for a pardon or a deal with Mueller
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 09:43 AM
Aug 2018

If they put Manafort in the witness box, all kinds of things would have come out in open court that are much more valuable to them as leverage.

Rudy has effectively dangled the pardon in recent ramblings, but the Feds have the threat of NY state charges to entice him with a coordinated plea/immunity deal that will keep him from dying in prison.

They are now waiting for the "best & final" offers.

LAS14

(13,783 posts)
17. Why do you call posts expressing opinions and asking for responses "garbage?"
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:12 AM
Aug 2018

Isn't DU supposed to be a place where things are discussed?

GetRidOfThem

(869 posts)
25. The reason why I post "garbage like this" is because I am worried
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 04:54 PM
Aug 2018

A lot of things don't go the way they should. And a lot of things don't appear the way they should.

Otherwise Agent Orange would never have been inaugurated. See, he was never going to win...

And the institutions are going to protect us from him...

The same institutions that allowed him and his Cabal to get to power....

kentuck

(111,098 posts)
11. He won't be acquitted...
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:00 AM
Aug 2018

The best he can hope for is a re-trial. It would be a win for him, I suppose, since he will have bought more time.

 

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)
34. Exactly how Trump wants you to react. There are more trials to come....
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 05:10 PM
Aug 2018

And Trump can’t pardon on state charges. He could spring him for a while and then he’ll be back for tampering w witnesses again.

 

Lee-Lee

(6,324 posts)
16. Too many charges on the table for him to walk on all
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:09 AM
Aug 2018

It may not be all we hope for, but he will get convicted of at least some of them.

PatSeg

(47,483 posts)
18. I think you're wrong
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:15 AM
Aug 2018

Doesn't look good for Manafort. The worst thing I can imagine is possibly a hung jury.

GetRidOfThem

(869 posts)
26. I hope you are right...
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 04:55 PM
Aug 2018

...I am just get adjusted to the fact that we are living in a topsy-turvy world where anything can happen...

spooky3

(34,456 posts)
32. I agree that DUers have been disappointed or shocked before and so it makes
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 05:08 PM
Aug 2018

sense to be cautious. But as I've posted in several places, one source of some comfort that may be helpful for you to remember is that jurors from Alexandria are likely to have AT LEAST bachelor's degrees, and both sides were able to strike a number of prospective jurors that gave clues that they might be biased.

Research in general shows that jurors do work hard to do a good and fair job.

I had jury duty in a neighboring county last spring. I was amazed as one prospective juror after another were asked questions about their occupations, and heard "doctor"; "lawyer"; "investment banker"; "nurse practitioner"; "physical therapist"; "teacher"; etc., etc. These people are going to take these charges very seriously.

And only about 18% of the voters in Alexandria City voted for Trump in 2016. Also 50% of the jurors are female per the WaPo. I don't know about minority membership on the jury.

This is NOT to say that people without degrees aren't also smart and conscientious. Many are. It is just that as a group, they are more likely to support Trump, if they are also white.

PatSeg

(47,483 posts)
37. Yes, I know what you mean
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 08:55 PM
Aug 2018

I'm feeling a little less confident right now. Such an roller coaster ride every day.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
19. They didn't put up any defense for a number of the charges.
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:16 AM
Aug 2018

They pretty much only could go after Gates.

And there is SOOOO much evidence corroborating Gate's testimony.

maryellen99

(3,789 posts)
21. I'm in the metro Detroit area when Kwame Kilpatrick was on trial for fed charges
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 10:29 AM
Aug 2018

People thought he was going to be acquitted of all charges. He wasn’t and there were people on the jury who voted for him twice.

underthematrix

(5,811 posts)
30. I see it differently. I don't think
Thu Aug 16, 2018, 05:05 PM
Aug 2018

jury nullification will occur in this case as some alleged happened in the OJ Simpson trail. The jurors are required to follow the judge's instructions and because jurors take the honor and responsibility of jury duty seriously, I believe they will follow his instructions which is to use the evidence.

Now if the judge, the defense attorneys, the defendant did anything to tamper with the jury then they will be prosecuted.

GetRidOfThem

(869 posts)
38. So it did not happen, but nearly did...
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 06:08 AM
Aug 2018

One Trumpian juror holdout prevented the conviction on all 18 counts. Geez maneez...

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»I have a bad feeling abou...