***Whoa, Nelly *** Trump falls below 40% approval at Gallup

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://news.gallup.com/poll/203207/trump-job-approval-weekly.aspx


Trump is getting close to testing his Charlottesville lows.

[House of Roberts]

1. The phrase, with correct inflection, courtesy of Keith Jackson.

[beachbum bob]

2. Need 35%....then GOP has real worries

[YessirAtsaFact]

3. 39% approval-56% disapproval

There’s an interesting graphic on the Gallup site, approval by state.

His approval ratings are below 50% in places like Texas, but the numbers are from January.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Do you have a link ? If it's this low on election day the Republicans will get shellacked.

[YessirAtsaFact]

7. Use the link in the OP and scroll down

Unfortunately the state numbers are old, January 2018.

I didn’t notice until after I posted

[Wellstone ruled]

4. Hey,this is Gallup

a right leaning Polling Group. If it is 40,most likely closer to 30.

[dalton99a]

6. +1. The dead-enders

[Wellstone ruled]

8. He he,

we used the same call sheets with every survey. And you rehearse the questions until you adopted the desired inflection points. Nuf said.

[lagomorph777]

20. Wow, even if we see the scripts, we might not detect all the bias?

Damn that's creepy.

[workinclasszero]

11. Yep

[Garrett78]

17. 538's poll aggregate has consistently had him just over 40.

[progressoid]

9. Still far too high.

[smirkymonkey]

10. K&R

[Brother Buzz]

12. That's unpossible....

[aggiesal]

18. This has to be Faux Nooz ...

cherry picking for better results. I don't notice any date on that screen.

Forgetting the fact that Obama took over the Great Recession from GW McIdiot,
who's numbers are in the Obama column, and BushLeague43 should be responsible for,
and IQ45 taking over where Obama left off.

Of course Faux viewers will recite these numbers as fact.

[Brother Buzz]

19. No date, but do you notice the red splotch Trump 50% approval rating?

Donald Jr tried his hand at photoshopping and pitched in into the social media arena. He was totally busted and removed the post. Loser.

http://time.com/5364668/donald-trump-jr-fake-poll/

[PearliePoo2]

13. If I'm looking at this right, he hasn't been this low since April! Trends matter.

I truly believe what's happening is Independents are bailing on him. And they're NOT coming back.

[sheshe2]

14. Kick!

How low will he go!

[LS_Editor]

15. It's absurd that his approval is still so fucking high.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. A normal president would be fifteen to twenty points higher with this economy.

[Garrett78]

21. What really stands out is how steady his approval rating has been.

Steadier than any of his predecessors: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

This, I think, is the product of having a cult following--it basically doesn't matter what he says or does. His ceiling is relatively low but I also don't think he will ever drop as low as some are hoping. The floor and the ceiling are not far apart.

[Awsi Dooger]

23. Steady but up 4 points from one year ago today

On that 538 approval chart you can touch any specific day. On August 13, 2017 the approval was 37.6%. Fast forward one year and it is 41.8%, even after inclusion of this Gallup poll.

Many of the House forecasts around here want to pretend it is still 37.6% and not 41.8%. We need Trump to so or say something outrageous, to drop a couple of points into the 30s. I don't want to be sitting here in November with his approval at 42 or above.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

25. Trump's strongly disapproval numbers are much high than his his strongly approval numbers.

Link to tweet

Poll: Trump is as strongly disliked now as Nixon was before he resigned


https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/11/politics/poll-of-the-week-trump-nixon/index.html

A vote is a vote is a vote but the stronger your feeling about a candidate, positive or negative, the more likely you are to get off your butt and vote for him or her in an off year election. Also Dems will catch up with Reps in off year participation as our base expands to include new suburban and college educated voters.

[Awsi Dooger]

27. Yes, but I'm not convinced there has been a change since November 2016

Trump was well hated in 2016. In the exit poll only 13% said they would be excited if Trump won, while 37% said scared.

With Hillary it was considerably more balanced, at 17% excited and 29% scared.

I don't like relying on adjustments. Our base struggles to turn out in midterms, specifically the young single women. Therefore I don't want to rely on turnout. That is a losing game. Elections are decided by preference not turnout. The lower Trump's approval rating that means swing independents have turned against him, and those swing independents will decide our fate in the House.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

28. I wish I had the link

There was a large group of voters, approximately twenty percent, who disliked Trump and Clinton equally but voted for the former because he was the change agent. The GOP won't have Hillary as a foil in 2018. Nancy Pelosi just won't do.

Also we are witnessing a realignment. The GOP is becoming the party of rural America. The Democrats are becoming the party of P.O.C. and urban and suburban whites. They vote.

[Awsi Dooger]

30. Very large block of voters disliked both but wanted change

Excellent point. The "change" category essentially decided that election

Hillary won't be on the ballot but some of our base voters -- minorities, young -- don't participate dependably in midterms. I'd feel much better about November if young single women were going to show up. That block really lets us down every midterm.

[LiberalLovinLug]

22. When he goes low.....we go high!

[oasis]

24. His blatant disrespect for Sen. McCain today should keep him below 40.

McCain would put it like this:

[Funtatlaguy]

26. On Nov 6, would love to see his Real Clear Politics avg at 35 or under.

We would then have a blue tsunami.

[oasis]

29. A Beautiful Blue Tsunami would be truly wonderful. 🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊