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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRepublicans Are Throwing Everything They Can at This Ohio Special Election--and It's Still Close
Panicked by recent polling and fearing another loss on the national stage, Republicans are scrambling to hold on to a district Donald Trump won comfortably two years ago. Sound familiar? It should by now. After a high-profile loss in Alabama last December and another in Pennsylvania in Marchas well as a too-close-for-comfort victory in Arizona in Aprilthe GOP is desperate to win next weeks congressional special election in Ohio.
Trump plans to touch down in the district this weekend to rally support for Republican Troy Balderson, who is running for the seat former Rep. Pat Tiberi vacated at the end of January. House Republicans are also lending their support in the form of millions of dollars via their official campaign arm and a Paul Ryan-aligned super PAC. House Democrats havent gotten involved to the same degree, though their campaign arm did make a late splash in the form of a mid-six-figure TV ad buy backing their nominee, Danny OConnor.
You dont need to squint to see a contest that looks a lot like the special election Democrat Conor Lamb won this spring. That district included parts of suburban Pittsburgh as well as more rural areas of Pennsylvania; this one includes suburban Columbus as well as more rural parts of Ohio. Trump won both districts comfortably, and OConnor has largely been working from the same moderate playbook Lamb used to win his race. OConnor, for instance, doesnt support single-payer health care, abolishing the U.S. Immigration and Custom Enforcement agency, or electing Nancy Pelosi as House speaker. (Though he did create a headache for himself recently when he accidentally stated the obvious: Hed vote for Pelosi over a Republican.)
Just as Lamb did, OConnor has closed the gap considerably coming down the home stretch, adding to the suspense and boosting national interest. A Monmouth University poll released Wednesday showed a statistical dead heatBalderson 44 percent, OConnor 43 percent among potential votersa 10-point swing in the Democrats favor since the same pollsters asked the question in June. Non-partisan handicappers, likewise, see the race as toss-up.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/08/ohio-special-election-danny-oconnor-troy-balderson-in-a-dead-heat.html
CaliforniaPeggy
(149,678 posts)but the Republicans have ZERO room for error. They're throwing everything they have, and it's still a dead heat?
I LOVE IT.
Botany
(70,552 posts).... if O'Connor takes it it will be part of a blue tsunami. The previous GOP
Congress Critter quit before his term was up becauseI think he knows that
when the republican/Russian scam is exposed that the shit will hit the fan.
I voted early and even my Republican father (89 year old) voted for O'Connor
too.
Trump came here today and @ first he was gonna be @ the Delaware County,
Fairgrounds >20,000 capacity but at the last minute they switched to a high
school gym <1,500 capacity.
Ninga
(8,276 posts)irisblue
(33,018 posts)He would have been reelected till he died in office.
Stargleamer
(1,990 posts)madinmaryland
(64,933 posts)We in white bread territory about 45 minutes north of Cincinnati.
Stuart G
(38,439 posts)Yes anything...
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)and it seems like every ugly rally he does the people appears to act the exact same, ummmm, like pod people.
irisblue
(33,018 posts)Tom Egan (@TomEganIII) Tweeted:
Ran into Jim Jordan outside the Trump rally.
I asked him if Troy Balderson is supporting him for speaker. Jordan said hell ask Balderson once he gets inside.
Ill talk to Troy when I get in. #OH12 https://t.co/kK038dQa2S
Link to tweet
irisblue
(33,018 posts)Tom Egan (@TomEganIII) Tweeted:
Ran into Jim Jordan outside the Trump rally.
I asked him if Troy Balderson is supporting him for speaker. Jordan said hell ask Balderson once he gets inside.
Ill talk to Troy when I get in. #OH12 https://t.co/kK038dQa2S
Link to tweet