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**Great News - Virginia 10th District - Weston 50 Comstock 41**
Trump’s unpopularity hurts House incumbent
West Long Branch, NJ – The race for Virginia’s 10th Congressional District starts out with the GOP Republican incumbent trailing by ten points according to the Monmouth University Poll. Pres. Donald Trump and the overall Republican brand hamper Rep. Barbara Comstock’s chances to retain her seat against her lesser-known Democratic challenger, state legislator Jennifer Wexton.
Wexton holds a 49% to 39% lead over Comstock among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 86% of all registered voters in the district). The race does not look significantly different using two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Wexton a 50% to 41% lead, while a model that includes a turnout surge in areas where Pres. Donald Trump is unpopular gives Wexton a 51% to 40% lead.
Half the voters in this district identify themselves as independents, and Wexton leads among this group by 45% to 36%. She also has stronger support among her fellow Democrats (97% to 1% for Comstock) than Comstock has among her fellow Republicans (85% to 10% for Wexton).
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_VA_062618/
West Long Branch, NJ – The race for Virginia’s 10th Congressional District starts out with the GOP Republican incumbent trailing by ten points according to the Monmouth University Poll. Pres. Donald Trump and the overall Republican brand hamper Rep. Barbara Comstock’s chances to retain her seat against her lesser-known Democratic challenger, state legislator Jennifer Wexton.
Wexton holds a 49% to 39% lead over Comstock among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 86% of all registered voters in the district). The race does not look significantly different using two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Wexton a 50% to 41% lead, while a model that includes a turnout surge in areas where Pres. Donald Trump is unpopular gives Wexton a 51% to 40% lead.
Half the voters in this district identify themselves as independents, and Wexton leads among this group by 45% to 36%. She also has stronger support among her fellow Democrats (97% to 1% for Comstock) than Comstock has among her fellow Republicans (85% to 10% for Wexton).
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_VA_062618/
Can Trump win a congressional district where the median education level is higher than the eighth grade ?
7 replies
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