General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2018 vote margin narrows as Democratic engagement slips (POLL)
A 10-point Democratic lead among all adults narrows to 4 points among registered voters and 5 points among those who say theyre both registered and certain to vote; neither of those is statistically significant. In January, by contrast, Democrats held similar margins in all three groups 13, 12 and 15 points, respectively.
Factors at play include a slide in self-reported registration among Democrats, which is a sign of waning engagement; consolidation among Republicans of their base; and better results for the GOP among less-educated Americans generally, and non-college-educated white women in particular.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2018-vote-margin-narrows-democratic-engagement-slips-poll/story?id=54482800
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)RandomAccess
(5,210 posts)LIES about the Dems, I silently scream: WHERE ARE YOU, DEMOCRATS? These LIES need to be countered.
vi5
(13,305 posts)Republicans were out in force, all the time on every show on every channel.
Everything Democrats did or said, no matter how inconsequential was met with coordinated counter and rebuttal from Republicans at every level.
Justified or not, people may be thinking that Democrats are simply content to sit back and wait for Republicans to implode and self-destruct and then just plan on riding the wave of disgust.
That may work around the margins but its not a long term sustainable strategy.
Fullduplexxx
(7,864 posts)Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)How not surprising to find this post...I can't remember you ever posting positive news for Democrats. However, the blue wave is coming.
brooklynite
(94,596 posts)As we frame a political campaign, this is a data point to consider. Unless, like Donald Trump, you choose to ignore any polling data that you don't like.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)Yesterday it was reported that Trump's numbers were up by the same poster...using one poll although multiple polls showed him below
40 %. These sort of posts which are multiple if you check are demoralizing and not helpful in our attempts to take back Congress.
brooklynite
(94,596 posts)This is a discussion board, noting more. Things that get posted here have no impact on politics in the real world.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)The constant negative posts...I just don't see the point. We all know with the gerrymander the House is tough. Look at our win in Virginia...sure we had way more votes but failed to take power...gerrymanders are terrible. I do hope we take governorships and legislatures this year as 20 is coming ...a presidential election and another census. We are so screwed it we don't take back state houses by 20.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)This article was put together by someone who doesnt have the most elementary understanding of statistics. A bit horrifying how this media organizatation is analyzing and disseminating this. Those with a similar understanding of statistics will simply buy in.
You are spot on with what you say. Its who things like this are directed at.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)Also, I would not report a poll that was within the margin of error as fact.
pintobean
(18,101 posts)but it's always good to be informed. We've been over-confident before.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=1610293
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)will be a tough slog, but I just think this poll is garbage. The results are within the margin of error and too many landline which means older voters...also not likely voters polled either. There was about 1000 people sampled...that alone makes it questionable.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)the margin of error is 3.5 points thus 'decline' is within the margin of error...there is likely no change at all since March. How nice of you to report yesterday that Trump's number rebounded (I disagree looking at more than one poll). And now today, an OP showing the Democratic chances to take back congress have declined...I don't think so. and what a demoralizing post...again the margin for error is 3.5, thus these results are within the margin of error.
mrsv
(209 posts)Would vote republican after seeing this shit show....then America deserves all the shit coming its way!!!
Squinch
(50,955 posts)blake2012
(1,294 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)Let's work together and do everything we can to ensure Democratic victories across the board.
Can I get an Amen?
Squinch
(50,955 posts)for democrats while ignoring those in the same articlewith good news? Kay.
obnoxiousdrunk
(2,910 posts)Saboburns
(2,807 posts)But the first time it had bad news for us I get to read about it in 4 different posts as well as see it on splashed all over a a morning news show.
W wonder why that is?
a kennedy
(29,673 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)Funny how these OPs only ever mention the bad polls. What could that ever mean??
Mr. Sparkle
(2,935 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)And to take nothing for granted.
blake2012
(1,294 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)Volunteer for your local Democratic candidate and help in any way you can!
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)"Volunteer for your local Democratic candidate and help in any way you can!"
Who within the thread is arguing otherwise or doesn't already know this?