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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI just got a pit of the stomach bad feeling about PA-18
Hope I'm just being knee jerk paranoid.
LiberalLoner
(9,762 posts)Its too close to call right now.
Siwsan
(26,268 posts)I'm fast losing faith in this country
Codeine
(25,586 posts)Were competitive in a race that a little over a year ago we lost by what, 17%?
If anything my faith is being restored, even if Saccone squeaks out the win.
Eliot Rosewater
(31,112 posts)UTUSN
(70,706 posts)MANative
(4,112 posts)GP6971
(31,165 posts)50% Lamb, 49% Saccone
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Need to barely hang on.
The early returns apparently led to assumption it would continue to widen. That's not the reality in a district with this type of natural tilt the other way.
sinkingfeeling
(51,457 posts)providing precinct votes.
Siwsan
(26,268 posts)I smell Borscht and it stinks to high heaven.
budkin
(6,703 posts)+17 swing. They are in trouble.
Lamb has managed a 17 point swing for the Dems.
I hope he wins, but this is a good sign for November!!!
radius777
(3,635 posts)and Lamb will likley run in the more Dem leaning district, Saccone the more Repug leaning one.. so both guys may wind up in Congress after all...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-pennsylvania-18th-special-election/
"Tuesday will likely be the last time you hear about a competitive district in the Pennsylvania 18th, but whoever emerges victorious in the special will likely have to fight hard to keep his seat in the regularly scheduled November 2018 election. How can this be? Earlier this year, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the states current congressional map as too gerrymandered in favor of the GOP; in February, the court imposed new district lines that are friendlier to Democrats. The new map splits most of the current 18th District between the new heavily Republican 14th District and the swingier, suburban 17th District.
If Saccone wins on Tuesday, he has said that he would seek re-election in the 14th, but if Lamb wins, he is expected to go after the 17th, even though he would have to face incumbent Republican Rep. Keith Rothfus there. Of course, the loser could decide to take a second bite of the apple in either the 14th or the 17th as well. After all these long hours of campaigning and millions of dollars spent, its entirely possible that, at the beginning of 2019, Conor Lamb and Rick Saccone will both be members of Congress.
Both will also have to decide their next moves almost immediately after the last drink is poured at their election-night watch parties on Tuesday. The deadline to file to run in November is March 20, one week later."
the fact that Lamb ran so strong shows that Drumpf's support is cratering even in conservative areas..
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)I past years the R runs unopposed and it is over and done.
We are never going to win many or any districts this red.
But many republican districts are not nearly this red.
Stealing this one would be a miracle.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)Were over-performing wildly and people still cant see that. Even a close loss is a win here.
Orange Free State
(611 posts)You know they are going to get whatever last minute call or play that they need.