Conor Lamb 52.40% 240 : Rep Rick Saccone 46.94% 215

[riversedge]

It is a start of something good

1/253 Precincts reporting



http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/PA/Allegheny/73817/Web02.193333/#/cid/0102


Party Candidate % Votes
Dem Conor Lamb 52.40% 240
Rep Rick Saccone 46.94% 215
LIB Drew Gray Miller 0.44% 2
WRITE-IN

[RandySF]

1. Lamb needs to do better than that in Allegheny

[riversedge]

4. now 2 Pres reporting and Conner doing better. Do you know this County??

Unofficial Results

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ResultsRepresentative in Congress 18TH DISTRICT

Representative in Congress 18TH DISTRICT(Vote For 1)
Last updated
3/13/2018 8:31:45 PM EDT
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2/253 Precincts reporting
Overall Allegheny Results
Party Candidate % Votes
Dem Conor Lamb 56.43% 439
Rep Rick Saccone 42.80% 333
LIB Drew Gray Miller 0.64% 5
WRITE-IN 0.13% 1
Votes Cast 778

[RandySF]

5. Not really lol. Sorry, too nervous.

[riversedge]

8. I briefly saw a map on cnn a bit ago. seem jack king also thinks conner should do good there.

[yallerdawg]

2. Around 600,000 possible votes to go!

[oasis]

3. Too early to celebrate, but I'm grabbing on to this.

[Fullduplexxx]

6. Cons often "find" votes near the end of the day like kathy niclaus

[riversedge]

9. hey cheeze head. I recall that horrible horrible night.

[mr_lebowski]

7. Seems like a good place to watch ...

http://www.cnn.com/election/2018/pennsylvania-house-special-election

ATM overall it's almost 60/40 LAMB ... mostly Allegheny reporting so far (43% of population, with 10% vote in ... 62-38 LAMB)

Greene is only 2% of the population but it's rural and with 18% of it's vote in ... is 54/44 SACCONE.

We've got no Westmoreland (33% pop) or Washington (22%) reporting yet, however. Expect those to go more Saccone's way.

Looking good so far ladies and gents!!!

[nolabear]

10. MSNBC crawl says 60-40 Lamb.

Fingers, toes, etc. crossed (and if you’ve ever tried crossing an etc....)

[marble falls]

11. Lamb's climbing!

Dem Conor Lamb 61.86% 6,041
Rep Rick Saccone 37.55% 3,667
LIB Drew Gray Miller 0.54% 53

[mr_lebowski]

12. Conor looking GREAT based on the by-County benchmarks that Nate Silver put out ...

Lambs ahead of the benchmarks in every county save Westmoreland since we've no results from there. He's supposed to be down by -6% in Washington instead he's up by almost 8%. In Allegheny he's expected up by +6% but he's up 19%.

And he's not down in Greene as much as expected either though thats 2% of pop and very rural, so ...

[Motownman78]

13. According to the NY projector

Saccone will win by 1.8%. Kinda disappointing.

[KelleyKramer]

14. Why is a 22% swing in Dems favor disappointing?

Just curious

[Motownman78]

15. Was hoping Lamb would win n/t

[budkin]

16. Because unless he wins the narrative will be about a Trump victory

[mr_lebowski]

17. Well, all I know is so far Lamb is ahead of the benchmarks set by 538 for all 4 counties

And Nate said if he hits those benchmarks he should win.

Needs to be behind in Washington county by <=6% and he's only down .5.

Need to be down by <=13% in Westmoreland and he's down 12.3%

Needs to be up by >=14% in Allegheny and he's up 15.3%

Green not enough to matter but he's beating that bench too.

[Yonnie3]

18. Too early to make a judgment

Right now the projector says Lamb +0.3%

now 0.4%

We need to wait until the colored bands narrow around the needle.

I'm looking at:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html#eln-forecast-section

[Yonnie3]

21. They have taken the needle down.

Westmoreland is not reporting by precinct so their model doesn't have input data.

[mr_lebowski]

19. Seems to be a respite in the numbers coming in here ... the All-Electronic Voting Machines ...

Are taking a coffee break, you see.

Or are is this when the Russians gather up the numbers so far and figure out how much they need to tweak the remainder to make sure Saccone gets the win ... Dun-dun-DUUUUUUUUNNNN!!!

[mr_lebowski]

20. Dang, he just fell under his benchmark in Westmoreland ...

Need him to not lose by 13% and he's now down 13.8.

BUT his Allegheny margin is higher than needed at +16.1 vs +14

[mr_lebowski]

22. How long they gonna keep us waiting on Washington County, man?!?

This is bullshit ...

EDIT: boom there they are ... not TOO terrible news, benchmark is -6% on this county for Lamb and he's down 5.5%.

[Motownman78]

23. Washingon just came in

He fell behind there as well