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RandySF

(59,221 posts)
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:57 PM Feb 2018

PA-18 Special Election Is Now a Toss Up

Cook Political Report: “It’s not normal for Republicans to be worried about losing a seat President Trump carried by 20 points. But with two weeks to go before the March 13 special election, Republican state Rep. Rick Saccone is locked in an extremely close contest against Democratic prosecutor/Marine veteran Conor Lamb, who has significantly outspent him.”

“We’re moving the race from Lean Republican to Toss Up.”

“What’s made the race so close, many Republicans admit, is that Lamb has simply proven to be a stronger candidate than Saccone.”



https://politicalwire.com/2018/02/27/pa-18-special-election-now-toss/


35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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PA-18 Special Election Is Now a Toss Up (Original Post) RandySF Feb 2018 OP
Lamb could well beat Saccone. I've been contributing to Lamb and hoping. n/t CaliforniaPeggy Feb 2018 #1
I live in PA-18... we can do this. scheming daemons Feb 2018 #2
Yes, lots of lawn signs Stargleamer Feb 2018 #26
His lawyer's will file requests for extension after extension, but it will be top news. olegramps Feb 2018 #30
Best political lawn sign(s) ever: Fred Sanders Feb 2018 #3
These are absolutely brillient bearsfootball516 Feb 2018 #4
k/r Dawson Leery Feb 2018 #5
FTW! ffr Feb 2018 #6
this will help win elections!!!!!! bluestarone Feb 2018 #10
Excellent! KPN Feb 2018 #13
If the redistricting holds by surviving GOP challenges, then that district will be redrawn anyway BumRushDaShow Feb 2018 #7
Lamb would be in the new 17th DeminPennswoods Feb 2018 #8
I believe they can now start circulating nominating petitions starting today. BumRushDaShow Feb 2018 #9
Ugh. I live in the new 14th Orange Free State Feb 2018 #15
the new 14th has Mike Doyle as the incumbent (D) DeminPennswoods Feb 2018 #21
The new 14th will be Orange Free State Feb 2018 #22
You are correct DeminPennswoods Feb 2018 #28
Thank goodness Orange Free State Feb 2018 #31
If the race is this close keepleft101 Feb 2018 #11
The DNC is quiet about stuff like this. Blue_true Feb 2018 #14
The DNC did a good job in VA, too. RandySF Feb 2018 #20
Some people seem to want to ignore that. nt Blue_true Feb 2018 #23
Because they feel they need to keep trashing them. RandySF Feb 2018 #24
It's easy to ignore RandomAccess Feb 2018 #25
No I do care. Like I said I live in PA keepleft101 Mar 2018 #32
Thanks. nt Blue_true Mar 2018 #33
Several issues RandySF Feb 2018 #19
Keep up the good work Penns voters!! Persist and stop this madness! Nt SWBTATTReg Feb 2018 #12
I keep contributing - I keep posting contribution links - NBachers Feb 2018 #16
Woo hooo! Honeycombe8 Feb 2018 #17
I'm a Californian, but as part of the grassroots effort to have a Blue Tsunami this year, I donated iluvtennis Feb 2018 #18
"a little lamb shall lead them" raven mad Feb 2018 #27
Send Lamb a donation if you can - small amounts are helpful Justice Feb 2018 #29
Come on people let's keep flipping seats! We can do this! Initech Mar 2018 #34
How many Dem voters in this district? rkleinberger Mar 2018 #35

Stargleamer

(1,990 posts)
26. Yes, lots of lawn signs
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 09:49 PM
Feb 2018

We can learn from Doug Jones' campaign and put up lots and lots of lawn signs for Conor Lamb

olegramps

(8,200 posts)
30. His lawyer's will file requests for extension after extension, but it will be top news.
Wed Feb 28, 2018, 12:46 PM
Feb 2018

This case must be keep front and center throughout the 2018 elections. Our only hope is to defeat the Republicans for every office the run for, from local and state to federal. I am convinced that our nation very survival is dependent on destroying the FASCIST REPUBLICAN PARTY. They have adopted every doctrine of the German Nazi Party and must be stopped. They are just as evil and dangerous as Hitler and Mussolini. The most powerful weapon of the people is their vote. The filthy Republican Party has done everything they can to restrict minorities, elderly and the youth from being able to exercise the constitutional rights. If ever there was justification for massive demonstrations that was the time. Our response has been less than adequate. The Republicans have not let this go unnoticed and are encouraged to intensify its onslaught. Just consider their attack and environmental laws, voting rights, health care, fair wages and every progressive program the Democrats have fought for against their unrestrained greed.

bearsfootball516

(6,377 posts)
4. These are absolutely brillient
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 03:05 PM
Feb 2018

Saccone has outraised Lamb 17-1 overall, but in local contributions, Lamb is outraising him 2-1. Basically, Saccone is getting a ton of money from big money donors, while there's a lot of grassroots support that Lamb's getting.

BumRushDaShow

(129,440 posts)
7. If the redistricting holds by surviving GOP challenges, then that district will be redrawn anyway
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 03:55 PM
Feb 2018

and could be a whole new ballgame come the May primary. The new 18th will be Pittsburgh and surrounding 'burbs in Allegheny County and a chunk of the current 18th will become the 14th and will include some of the current 9th.

DeminPennswoods

(15,290 posts)
8. Lamb would be in the new 17th
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 04:08 PM
Feb 2018

Saccone would be in the new 14th, iirc.

The new 17th primary will be interesting as Erin McClelland has thrown her hat into the ring for a 3rd try at Rothfus.

BumRushDaShow

(129,440 posts)
9. I believe they can now start circulating nominating petitions starting today.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 04:20 PM
Feb 2018

So it will be interesting to see who plans to run where - especially over here in the east with the lines really redrawn quite a bit!

Orange Free State

(611 posts)
15. Ugh. I live in the new 14th
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 05:08 PM
Feb 2018

It is horrible that Saccone May be my new congressman. I haven’t even heard of a Democrat circulating a petition yet. It is Oxycontistan here, broke dopers and elderly rangers who support Trump to the end. Socially part of West Virginia.

DeminPennswoods

(15,290 posts)
21. the new 14th has Mike Doyle as the incumbent (D)
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 07:32 PM
Feb 2018

It's Pittsburgh and what looks to be the south hills suburbs.

Orange Free State

(611 posts)
22. The new 14th will be
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 08:15 PM
Feb 2018

Last edited Tue Feb 27, 2018, 09:09 PM - Edit history (1)

Washington, Westmoreland (partial), Greene, and Fayettenam. I don’t know if Doyle will choose to run this fall in that or in the district in which he lives.

Orange Free State

(611 posts)
31. Thank goodness
Wed Feb 28, 2018, 01:49 PM
Feb 2018

For a minute I thought maybe I had the wrong map! At least that ugly Repugnantcan bastard Saccone and his frontal hairpiece will belong to some other unfortunate voters, not me.

 

keepleft101

(82 posts)
11. If the race is this close
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 04:25 PM
Feb 2018

why doesnt the DNC step in and offer support and money? This could be a hugh upset. Please let it happen. I live in PA but not 18 district

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
14. The DNC is quiet about stuff like this.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 05:03 PM
Feb 2018

People criticized them on Alabama, but they were there with a brilliant ground game. At the risk of sounding hostile, do you care or do you just want to hit the DNC? If you care, make a contribution to Lamb through his website, he can use the money down the stretch. I did my latest contribution on Sunday.

RandySF

(59,221 posts)
24. Because they feel they need to keep trashing them.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 08:49 PM
Feb 2018

Heads rolled when Perez got there and he’s put time and money into reach millenials and people of color.

 

keepleft101

(82 posts)
32. No I do care. Like I said I live in PA
Thu Mar 1, 2018, 04:32 PM
Mar 2018

I would love to see the house flip.

I'm not sure what you mean by hit the DNC but if you mean take a shot at them in a bad way. No I have nothing against the DNC.

I will go on and donate. I cant a lot but I can give something

RandySF

(59,221 posts)
19. Several issues
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 06:07 PM
Feb 2018

1. Lamb is raising a ton of money from small donors and, as an individual candidate, gets a better rate on the tv buy.

2. The party got deeply involved in the Ossoff race that galvanizes the opposition when there’s nothing else going on.

3. The map will be different in November.

4. The DNC is broke but I’m getting a bunch of emails from the DCCC.

5. This is deep red deer hunter country where Clinton lost by 20 in 2016 and Obama lost in 2012.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
17. Woo hooo!
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 05:35 PM
Feb 2018

I would be worried if it weren't. I mean, if having a lying idiot Russian puppet in the White HOuse, supported by lying idiot Russian representatives, and funded by Russians, and bilking the American taxpayers out of billions, if all that weren't enough for at LEAST a toss-up, I'd say "All is Lost."

iluvtennis

(19,871 posts)
18. I'm a Californian, but as part of the grassroots effort to have a Blue Tsunami this year, I donated
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 05:54 PM
Feb 2018

to Lamb and I also wroteup postcards and mailed to Dems in the district. Go BIG BLUE, GO

rkleinberger

(155 posts)
35. How many Dem voters in this district?
Fri Mar 2, 2018, 07:28 PM
Mar 2018

Can Lamb maximize enough GOTV to overcome the Republican majority in this district? The concern is whether he might have maximized his base and there just isn't enough Democrats or progressives to beat the Republican scum. Lamb will need to get some of their scum to vote for him unfortunately. Lamb needs major GOTV in the district between now and election day.

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