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What will Mueller do next? Any speculation? (Original Post) shraby Feb 2018 OP
Jared greymattermom Feb 2018 #1
With Rump's being silent for a couple of days and then today's futile "WITCH HUNT" tweet... Kablooie Feb 2018 #2
Wishfull Thinking On Their Part SoCalMusicLover Feb 2018 #4
What's the prediction based on? Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #8
Hard telling who he needs to flip next? imanamerican63 Feb 2018 #3
there will be no flipping the criminal family. mueller will ensure they spend life in prison Takket Feb 2018 #20
Yeah, maybe, but there is always that chance he could pit their family against each other? imanamerican63 Feb 2018 #23
What evidence does he have? Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #5
I don't expect much more at this point outside of him releasing his report to congress. NCTraveler Feb 2018 #6
You must be on Mueller's legal team then Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #9
It's called speculation on a political discussion board. NCTraveler Feb 2018 #14
Its speculation inconsistent with facts Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #15
My speculation is perfectly consistent with the facts that are known. NCTraveler Feb 2018 #16
What known facts justify anything you said? Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #21
You are wrong about intent. NCTraveler Feb 2018 #24
Trump is a target-Not sorry that offends you Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #27
You don't have any "facts" either. former9thward Feb 2018 #17
Except I just referred to facts Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #18
Because the truth matters and you dont seem to be interested in it. NCTraveler Feb 2018 #25
Troll on Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #28
There are at least three areas of investigation: DNC hack, money laundering, and Obstruction NightWatcher Feb 2018 #7
Bada bing bada boom Juliusseizure Feb 2018 #11
I think there are a few "gotchas" that might convince the repukes to remove. NightWatcher Feb 2018 #13
Rick Gates singing like a canary? meow2u3 Feb 2018 #10
My guess NewJeffCT Feb 2018 #12
My fantasy is that it doesn't really matter if Manafort flips because Gates is giving Mueller mucifer Feb 2018 #19
Manafort is the endgame. Takket Feb 2018 #22
Everyone gets plea deals until it's time for Trump. no_hypocrisy Feb 2018 #26
Any chance Manafort goes into Witness protection when and if he flips nt maryellen99 Feb 2018 #29

Kablooie

(18,641 posts)
2. With Rump's being silent for a couple of days and then today's futile "WITCH HUNT" tweet...
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 01:21 PM
Feb 2018

Indicates to me that he's very nervous and is expecting something really big to drop and doesn't know how to defend himself from it.

That could be Manafort flipping.

On MSNBC someone predicted that if Manafort flips Trump would step down within a couple of weeks.
Whether that's true or not it seems that Manafort is the really big fish that Mueller's been trying to catch for a long time.

 

SoCalMusicLover

(3,194 posts)
4. Wishfull Thinking On Their Part
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 01:47 PM
Feb 2018

Whatever analyst said that Drumpf is going to step down shortly after an announcement that Manafort is pleading guilty and assisting Mueller's investigation, is being a bit optimistic. Drumpf and those in Congress enabling him, are not going to suddenly back down sadly.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
8. What's the prediction based on?
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 01:59 PM
Feb 2018

These predictions are worthless unless they know what Manafort would reveal, which they don't.

This is where these pundits cross the line between accurate prediction based on legal knowledge to pure speculation based on wanting to stay in the media spotlight.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
5. What evidence does he have?
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 01:52 PM
Feb 2018

Rhetorical question. We don't know what evidence he has, so we can just talk about general strategies.

I'm pretty sure he wants to flip Paul Manafort. He went after him very early on and most aggressively. Supposedly Trump said Manafort could do him in. He's piling on new charges in different courts while trying to seize assets (I think) so he can't afford lawyers.

That's not to say he needs Manafort to prove a crime beyond a reasonable doubt. But I think he wants to prove these crimes beyond all doubt, not just reasonable doubt. That's the goal of every prosecutor.

I'm pretty sure he's reluctant to go after Trump family unless he absolutely needs to for political and strategy reasons.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
6. I don't expect much more at this point outside of him releasing his report to congress.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 01:55 PM
Feb 2018

It will outline how deep Russia was in our elections. Showing it was clearly more than social media. He will not make the connection directly to Trump. He is finishing up his interviews now.

If he currently has the goods on Trump he would have the ethical responsibility to inform congress almost immediately. This is a situation where knowledge, without action, would equate to a dereliction of duty. That isn't Muellers thing.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
9. You must be on Mueller's legal team then
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:02 PM
Feb 2018

Because only someone on his legal team would have any credibility in making that statement.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
14. It's called speculation on a political discussion board.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:56 PM
Feb 2018

Your strange comment here could be applied to reply after reply.

Including a post you replied "Bada bing bada boom" to.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
15. Its speculation inconsistent with facts
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 04:01 PM
Feb 2018

Speculation inconsistent with facts isn't worth much.

There's never been a probe by special counsel that's ended sooner than 2 years as far as I know, and this one appears to be by far the most complicated and wide-ranging, involving a foreign government
and possibly years worth of all kinds of criminal activities.

I will admit Mueller seems to be going very fast, but he won't stop until he's attempted to get slam dunk evidence on numerous serious criminal charges against the main actors as authorized by his appointment and as required by his ethical obligations (which I think he takes seriously, strangely enough).

Does Mueller seem like a half-assed prosecutor who just closes shop after a set number of interviews? That's basically what you're saying.

Also, the speculation that that he won't find a connection to Trump is inconsistent with Mueller's prosecutorial intent and what we know.

Maybe you were referring to just the "collusion" issue, which is still inconsistent with facts, but there's enough in the public record right now to recommend a charge of abuse of power and obstruction.

Trump said don't look into my financial affairs. Is that not a screaming red flag, in addition to public record evidence, that he's engaged in criminal money laundering with Russian oligarchs, etc?

And we know Mueller subpoenaed deutsche bank records - the conduit for Russian money laundering - and has a bunch of lawyers with expertise in money laundering. I don't know how you look at that and conclude its a nothing burger.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
16. My speculation is perfectly consistent with the facts that are known.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 04:38 PM
Feb 2018

And you did not refute that in your post.

"Also, the speculation that that he won't find a connection to Trump is inconsistent with Mueller's prosecutorial intent and what we know."

What is his "prosecutorial intent"? Why would it matter in any way with respect to the outcome? He can't just make things up.

"I don't know how you look at that and conclude its a nothing burger."

I never said "nothing burger". I never said his investigation would be a "nothing burger". You literally just made that up.

Only those on the right are trying to lay the ground work that if it isn't directly Trump then it is a "nothing burger".


Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
21. What known facts justify anything you said?
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 11:38 PM
Feb 2018

Mueller's prosecutorial intent is to find what,why,when,how, and who is behind Trump campaign criminal activity, and criminal activities discovered in the course of that investigation, with his goal of getting the leader who directed, authorized, most benefited from all of it, and is thus the greatest risk to public safety, which would be Trump.

If you disagree, I don't know why.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
24. You are wrong about intent.
Wed Feb 28, 2018, 08:18 AM
Feb 2018

It’s a bit shocking you can state something so inaccurate at this point.

former9thward

(32,077 posts)
17. You don't have any "facts" either.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 04:51 PM
Feb 2018

I guess you are the only one allowed to speculate in a thread which called for speculation.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
18. Except I just referred to facts
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 11:27 PM
Feb 2018

There are lots of facts that serve as credible evidence already in the public record to demonstrate obstruction, abuse of power, and money laundering.

Do a quick search of DU discussions.

Obstruction - you just need to follow the news. Comey firing. Requests of every head of major intelligence agencies for loyalty pledges. Lester Holt interview "fired him for Russia thing". Meeting with Russians and statements made to Russians day after firing about being relieved Russia investigation pressure was off. He intended to fire Mueller. He's desperately searching for reasons to fire Rosenstein, with help from horsehit memos brought by Nunes. Etc etc etc

There's plenty of evidence for collusion-not on the public record, but see the article. I happen to trust Adam Schiff.

If you dispute that, I wonder why(?) since this is DU, but ok.

Schiff is referring to the "Trump campaign", because he can't say collusion with the president, but its Trump's campaign, with his own appointed advisors, all mysteriously having almost nothing in common except for being Republican and having contacts, pre-existing relationships with, financial dealings with, and collectively hundreds of contacts with, Russia and Russian oligarchs.

Of course anyone can speculate, but I can and will opine if I think its inaccurate because that just misleads people and makes them less informed.

I think we have an abundance of uninformed people already.


[link:https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.usatoday.com/amp/336786002|

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
25. Because the truth matters and you dont seem to be interested in it.
Wed Feb 28, 2018, 08:21 AM
Feb 2018

“If you dispute that, I wonder why(?) since this is DU, but ok.”

You have not factually backed your speculation as you claim. Quite the opposite.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
28. Troll on
Wed Feb 28, 2018, 12:39 PM
Feb 2018

If facts about Trump's obstruction of justice just trigger you into knee-jerk conclusory opposition, troll on.

NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)
7. There are at least three areas of investigation: DNC hack, money laundering, and Obstruction
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 01:58 PM
Feb 2018

First he is proving the crimes have happened.

Then he'll show who hacked the DNC, voter roles, and possibly the vote numbers. It's fine if they are Russians and cannot be extradited to the US. Just prove they more than likely did it.

Then he'll show, using Manafort, that the Russians laundered billions through trump and his properties and that the election meddling was the quid pro quo for the years of laundering.

Then he'll cap it off with the ever so easy to prove Obstruction by the entire trump administration.

The crime happened. The Russians committed it. trump worked for Russia. His Obstruction links him to the huge conspiracy to launder and attack our election.

The Obstruction proves Conspiracy to the Crimes he's already laying out. It's Mobster Prosecution 101.

Juliusseizure

(562 posts)
11. Bada bing bada boom
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:16 PM
Feb 2018

That's a good John Grisham plot summary and I hope you write that book and make millions.

But the facts, the law and the political reality of the proof he needs to show to get a GOP senate to convict are more complicated.



NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)
13. I think there are a few "gotchas" that might convince the repukes to remove.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:48 PM
Feb 2018

Those might possibly be:

Remember when the Russians hacked RNC Servers and your personal emails and are holding that above you? trump was in on that.

Or Mueller could list Rohrabacher, Ryan, McTurtle, and a few others as Unindicted Coconspirators and threaten to put their involvement. They might want the whole matter to go away quietly.

Or Mueller could show some horrendous proof of the vote totals being screwed with and treat it like an act of war and try to guilt the repukes.

Or Mueller will hand off a shit ton of proof of horrible crimes to an AG of a state like New York against trump so that the state would need him removed immediately in order to prosecute and try him for screwing with our election and actual vote totals. (This is the one that I think might actually happen.)

meow2u3

(24,772 posts)
10. Rick Gates singing like a canary?
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:03 PM
Feb 2018

Word is that Gates has the goods on Donnie McRussia. RICO anyone?

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
12. My guess
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 02:25 PM
Feb 2018

with the Gates charges being withdrawn, he likely has something big on Manafort (and maybe others) and Mueller is putting additional pressure on Manafort to cooperate.

Either, we find out soon (by the end of March) that Manafort is working on a plea deal with Mueller to cooperate or else Trump will pardon Manafort and all Hell may break loose.

mucifer

(23,565 posts)
19. My fantasy is that it doesn't really matter if Manafort flips because Gates is giving Mueller
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 11:32 PM
Feb 2018

all the info and that Mueller just wants Manafort to flip just to make his case stronger.

A girl can dream.

Takket

(21,625 posts)
22. Manafort is the endgame.
Tue Feb 27, 2018, 11:39 PM
Feb 2018

once he flips, and he will, drumpf is finished. Manafort and Mueller are basically just haggling over the "cost" of Manafort's cooperation at this point, and I'm sure Manafort wants protection to ensure he doesn't get a plutonium souffle courtesy of Putin.

I think mueller movers on drumpf in the next month or two

no_hypocrisy

(46,182 posts)
26. Everyone gets plea deals until it's time for Trump.
Wed Feb 28, 2018, 08:23 AM
Feb 2018

Trump is the end game.

Manafort going to prison is icing on the cake.

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