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KENTUCKY DEMOCRATS FLIP STATE HOUSE SEAT FROM RED TO BLUE (Original Post) RandySF Feb 2018 OP
K & r!!! LAS14 Feb 2018 #1
Wonderful! Hurrah! Sophia4 Feb 2018 #2
Where is this geographically? Roland99 Feb 2018 #3
Louisville suburbs and exhurbs RandySF Feb 2018 #4
Whoa!! Lived there over 40 years but never knew my state district. This is HUGH!! Roland99 Feb 2018 #9
map Hermit-The-Prog Feb 2018 #34
I love spring and summer, but I'd gladly skip them this year if it could just be November now! NT Bleacher Creature Feb 2018 #5
It is advised by some here: "Patience lil 🐜." (Closest I had was an ant!) sprinkleeninow Feb 2018 #39
WOW.. Fantastic!! Cha Feb 2018 #6
A good percentage, although it seems like a low turnout. ?? LAS14 Feb 2018 #7
Not surprising. Surrounding counties are more conservative. They did not GOTV Roland99 Feb 2018 #10
Special elections are usually low turnout rpannier Feb 2018 #30
WooHoo! K&R from Kentucky. MelissaB Feb 2018 #8
This is the seat held by that religious nut job who hung himself brokephibroke Feb 2018 #11
GREAT! She is a retired teacher, and I hear people there PISSED about education cuts! LBM20 Feb 2018 #12
What's the current makeup of the Kentucky legislature? nt LAS14 Feb 2018 #13
Ask and Ye Shall Receive rpannier Feb 2018 #33
Well, we've got a way to go. It's good we're getting started!!!! LAS14 Feb 2018 #37
Perspective on this. This is largely a blue collar area Roland99 Feb 2018 #14
Oh yeah! mcar Feb 2018 #15
Winning! n/t Mr.Bill Feb 2018 #16
flipped for now mercuryblues Feb 2018 #17
Interesting. But more power to her!!!! We must remember her in November! LAS14 Feb 2018 #21
That guy Johnson was bad. LeftInTX Feb 2018 #43
Do you have info about the percentages of those races? LAS14 Feb 2018 #23
at the link mercuryblues Feb 2018 #27
K&R! Tarheel_Dem Feb 2018 #18
Do republicans think they will be getting the 18 year old votes in the next election? mgardener Feb 2018 #19
The base grows smaller, limited and inconsequential. The rest of the country makes common notdarkyet Feb 2018 #31
How big is this: 68 to 32 tonight. Went 72-23 for tRump/Putin in 2016 & went Romney 66-33 in 2012 Julian Englis Feb 2018 #20
An 86 point flip gratuitous Feb 2018 #24
nice!!!!!!!!!!! don't give an inch til after 2020 bluestarone Feb 2018 #22
Excellent, good for Linda B. and the Blue Grass State of beautiful appalachiablue Feb 2018 #25
Im swooning!!! Many thanks Randy!!! nt!!! Leghorn21 Feb 2018 #26
Blue moon of Kentucky keep on shining. nycbos Feb 2018 #28
Hey conservatives and Trump trolls! Initech Feb 2018 #29
We need to run people in every district NewJeffCT Feb 2018 #32
K&R ismnotwasm Feb 2018 #35
The Blue Wave... the blue wave djacq Feb 2018 #36
WOOT! Attaway! no text sprinkleeninow Feb 2018 #38
Hell yeah! Howard Dean's 50 state strategy has merit. ffr Feb 2018 #40
Saw that and all I can say is... Pacifist Patriot Feb 2018 #41
She held that seat until she was voted out until 2010 by the pervert. LeftInTX Feb 2018 #42
Yes and no Pacifist Patriot Feb 2018 #44
We can't be complacent and think this is particular election was an "Anti-Trump blue wave" LeftInTX Feb 2018 #45
Very unique Pacifist Patriot Feb 2018 #46

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
9. Whoa!! Lived there over 40 years but never knew my state district. This is HUGH!!
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 08:49 PM
Feb 2018

Once you get to those well-to-do areas or more rural areas it gets much more Republican.

Liberal concentration is more in the Louisville urban areas, as expected (clifton, highlands, minority areas downtown, st matthews)


EDIT: see post 14. This is older established areas that are largely blue collar

sprinkleeninow

(20,250 posts)
39. It is advised by some here: "Patience lil 🐜." (Closest I had was an ant!)
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 10:50 PM
Feb 2018

Please don't be miffed--I am simultaneously reminding myself with this!

LAS14

(13,783 posts)
7. A good percentage, although it seems like a low turnout. ??
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 08:48 PM
Feb 2018

Belcher secured 68.45 percent of the vote, according to the Bullitt County Clerk's office. Rebecca Johnson, Dan Johnson's widow, secured 31.55 percent. There were 4,947 votes cast.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
10. Not surprising. Surrounding counties are more conservative. They did not GOTV
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 08:50 PM
Feb 2018

Similar to what helped Doug Jones in AL.

rpannier

(24,330 posts)
30. Special elections are usually low turnout
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:46 PM
Feb 2018

It's why get out the vote is so important
Also, if it's multiple elections in the same area, do what the x-tian reich does, run a slate of candidates

rpannier

(24,330 posts)
33. Ask and Ye Shall Receive
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:53 PM
Feb 2018

The State Senate is 27 Republicans 11 Democrats with 0 vacancies
Representatives appears to be 62 Republicans 37 Democrats (count includes this special election) 1 Vacancy

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
14. Perspective on this. This is largely a blue collar area
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 08:59 PM
Feb 2018

This is not an affluent area of Jefferson and Bullitt counties.

mercuryblues

(14,532 posts)
17. flipped for now
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:05 PM
Feb 2018

In 2012 Belcher ran for re-election and lost
In 2014 Belcher ran again and won
In 2016 Belcher ran again and lost to Dan Johnson, who committed suicide last Dec. Leaving the seat open

Today Belcher won. The question is will she hold onto the seat in Nov?

https://ballotpedia.org/Kentucky_House_of_Representatives_District_49

LAS14

(13,783 posts)
21. Interesting. But more power to her!!!! We must remember her in November!
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:08 PM
Feb 2018

Do you have info about the percentages of those races?

LeftInTX

(25,375 posts)
43. That guy Johnson was bad.
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 11:25 PM
Feb 2018

He was a pastor who molested teens in his house.

His wife ran to replace him, which is just gross. She was probably complicit.

This is one of those races that is hard to pin down. Belcher was in that seat for quite awhile, then Johnson won in 2010 with the Tea Party sweep.

mgardener

(1,817 posts)
19. Do republicans think they will be getting the 18 year old votes in the next election?
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:06 PM
Feb 2018

After they pretty much telling high school kids around the country they dont care if they are gunned down while attending school?
I think republicans are going to lose a generation of voters over this.

notdarkyet

(2,226 posts)
31. The base grows smaller, limited and inconsequential. The rest of the country makes common
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:46 PM
Feb 2018

Cause. Resist the maggots.

Julian Englis

(2,309 posts)
20. How big is this: 68 to 32 tonight. Went 72-23 for tRump/Putin in 2016 & went Romney 66-33 in 2012
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:07 PM
Feb 2018

Yuuuuugggeeeeee!

gratuitous

(82,849 posts)
24. An 86 point flip
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:25 PM
Feb 2018

Say whatever you want, low turnout, flawed candidate, blue collar district, I don't care. An 86 point swing in 14 months is fuckin' epic. Any Republican who feels safe isn't running in 2018.

Initech

(100,080 posts)
29. Hey conservatives and Trump trolls!
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 09:38 PM
Feb 2018

While you're busy trying to find out ways to "trigger" us, we're doing that thing called "kicking your asses out of office"! Get used to losing! K thanks!

Pacifist Patriot

(24,653 posts)
41. Saw that and all I can say is...
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 10:59 PM
Feb 2018

www.voteannfuller.com

Yes we can!

By the way, my opponent was a no show in a FL House vote today that denied a proposed assault weapons ban to move out of committee to face debate on the full house floor - in front of a bus load of students from Parkland. Shut down even talking about it!

LeftInTX

(25,375 posts)
42. She held that seat until she was voted out until 2010 by the pervert.
Tue Feb 20, 2018, 11:20 PM
Feb 2018

That pedophile's wife ran in his place. And I'm sure she was complicit in some of it.

So, this isn't a big victory.

Pacifist Patriot

(24,653 posts)
44. Yes and no
Wed Feb 21, 2018, 09:39 AM
Feb 2018

It's definitely not as miraculous as headlines would lead us to believe.

I see the victory in the turnout numbers. That is what we should focus on. Voter registration, vote by mail, voter turnout. We can do it if we nail the ground game. That's what all these Democratic victories are confirming again and again and again. Effective and efficient targeting does make a difference.

LeftInTX

(25,375 posts)
45. We can't be complacent and think this is particular election was an "Anti-Trump blue wave"
Wed Feb 21, 2018, 02:13 PM
Feb 2018

It had unique circumstances that makes it different from other elections.

But I agree with you on everything else!

Pacifist Patriot

(24,653 posts)
46. Very unique
Wed Feb 21, 2018, 05:53 PM
Feb 2018

I wish more people read the stories on the race closer. She took back a seat she lost by a slim margin.

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