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NYT doing its best to minimize Democratic special election victories (Original Post) RandySF Feb 2018 OP
Dems seem to have the enthusiasm edge DeminPennswoods Feb 2018 #1
Nate got burned badly in 2016 Loki Liesmith Feb 2018 #2
Nate Silver or Nate Cohn? Cha Feb 2018 #4
Cohn Loki Liesmith Feb 2018 #11
Ah, thank you, LL.. this is really Cha Feb 2018 #14
Oh do tell, nate cohn.. wtf does he know? Cha Feb 2018 #3
Exactly. nt SunSeeker Feb 2018 #9
Ya know what, nate? STUFFIT! Ya heard? n/t sprinkleeninow Feb 2018 #5
They may be small potatoes when taken individually DFW Feb 2018 #6
NYT Sucks ! nocalflea Feb 2018 #7
Looking at twitter feed Nate Cohan his repuke leaning is @bout as subtle as a turd blossom Thekaspervote Feb 2018 #8
Stop Loki Liesmith Feb 2018 #12
Nate has a good point. Glamrock Feb 2018 #10
Good, we don't want the pukes to overreact to this. milestogo Feb 2018 #13

DeminPennswoods

(15,286 posts)
1. Dems seem to have the enthusiasm edge
Wed Feb 14, 2018, 03:38 AM
Feb 2018

It doesn't necessarily follow that Dems will lose that advantage in the mid-terms, that GOP turnout will improve or that Rs who do turn out will vote for their party's nominee.

The FL special election seemed to be pretty high profile. The GOP tried to rally the troops and couldn't. What this tells me is that while Trump's base still loves him, they aren't enough by themselves to win.

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)
11. Cohn
Wed Feb 14, 2018, 08:43 AM
Feb 2018

Silver constantly emphasized Trump had a substantial chance to win. His model was around 30%. Cohn only gave Trump 5-15%.

DFW

(54,397 posts)
6. They may be small potatoes when taken individually
Wed Feb 14, 2018, 04:21 AM
Feb 2018

Still, when every new one announces a Democratic victory, the trend is hard to overlook.

Thekaspervote

(32,771 posts)
8. Looking at twitter feed Nate Cohan his repuke leaning is @bout as subtle as a turd blossom
Wed Feb 14, 2018, 06:01 AM
Feb 2018

I’m sure if asked he would pull the great gopee talking head thing... bluster, pat answers! Yup, we got your number

Glamrock

(11,802 posts)
10. Nate has a good point.
Wed Feb 14, 2018, 06:32 AM
Feb 2018

It's gonna be hard to sustain enthusiasm once the GOP stops attacking Medicare, Medicaid, social security, dreamers, blacks, women, etc. But considering that won't happen until never, I think we'll be okay.

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