Which States/Districts/Seats Can We Flip?

[BlueDog22]

So I haven't looked through the list of all the races and saw which ones were going to be the easiest turn blue. I always see everything on all three levels, National, State and Local. Most people over look the importance of local elections and officeholder, but I understand how much power and influence they can have.

Does anyone have a list of offices with a weak Republican incumbent, or where there are more Democrats than Republicans in a GOP held district?

In North Carolina, there's going to be several redrawn Congressional Districts, and some of them will turn blue. In Wake County there are only 2 GOP Incumbents in county office. Both of them have a lot of strength and backing. The goal should be more towards holding what we have in a swing county, but if we can take Jennifer Knox (grand daughter of Jessie Helms) out then we should.

Pennsylvania Redistricting should open some stuff up on a Congressional level there.

[dsc]

1. actually our congressional districts won't be redrawn

SCOTUS scuttled that for now. NC is stuck with the ones we now have until 2020 in all likelihood.

[BlueDog22]

3. Four

https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/06/politics/north-carolina-gerrymandering/index.html

They have to redraw four state congressional districts. My fault.

"The ruling is a only a partial victory for the lawmakers, however, because the justices declined a request to put on hold maps for four other districts. "

[LAS14]

2. This post has a list of the NDRC targets.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100210199030#post13

The NDRC is the National Democratic Redistricting Committee - founded by Obama and Holder. Currently run actively by Holder. The best thing on the Dem side since the election.

Have you heard of it? It needs more publicity.

[crazycatlady]

4. Check out Swing Left and Sister district

If you don't live in a swing district, they will tell you one you can help out in

[vercetti2021]

5. Working hard

Down here in Texas to flip one of our senate seats and our house district. Beto has the best shot to beat Cruz. Sadly for our house district it's an extremely red part of the state. But we got a dem running against Mac Thornberry.

[BlueDog22]

6. Running in Red Districts

By having Democrats, even as Token opposition, it forces the Republican Incumbent to spend a little bit of money there. That's good, because they can't hand it off to another candidate.

[vercetti2021]

10. Yep

Here's who is running against Thornberry

https://gregsagan2018.org

I met him during the panhandle pride festival last year. Great guy, extremely down to earth.

[Brother Buzz]

7. Check out DCCC's 'Red to Blue' list

Their list changes, but it is a good place to start to get the skinny on 'doable/flippable' races

https://redtoblue.dccc.org/



https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/dccc-red-to-blue-candidates

[BlueDog22]

8. Local Level

There are a lot of local seats that are unfilled. I can think of five in North Carolina, that do not have incumbents. Putting candidates up for some of these positions is basically claiming abandoned property. Minor parties actually do this. The Libertarians have done it, and the Reform Party pulled off a town chairman position in Wisconsin using this tactic.

This is good for grassroots in the long term.

[Wounded Bear]

9. In my home state...

WA-8 Reichert, R, retiring....even

WA-3 Buetler, R....R+4

WA-5 McMorris-Rodgers, R...R+8 but RNC already worried and sending money.

Hopefully we get at least 2 of the 3.