Can Obama win by channeling Harry Truman?
By Adam Serwer
That’s the pundit prescription of the moment, and it appears that Obama may be following it. Yesterday, the president gave a speech in Michigan railing against “Congress” for failing to undertake meaures to fix the economy, and he’s reiterating those points today. It’s true that Obama tends to refrain from targeting Republicans by name, preferring to hammer Congress in general. But as Jonathan Cohn points out, Obama yesterday also gave a strong defense of government:
You’ll hear a lot of folks, by the way, say that government is broken. Well, government and politics are two different things. Government is our troops who are fighting on our behalf in Afghanistan and Iraq. That’s government. Government are also those FEMA folks when there’s a flood or a drought or some emergency who come out and are helping people out. That’s government. Government is Social Security. Government are teachers in the classroom. Government are our firefighters and our police officers, and the folks who keep our water clean and our air clean to breathe, and our agricultural workers. And when you go to a national park, and those folks in the hats -- that’s government.
Cohn added that “It looks like President Obama really has found his inner Harry Truman, at least for the moment.”
Harry Truman, who ran against an unpopular “do-nothing Congress” like the one we have today, is kind of the patron saint of unpopular presidents seeking reelection — one whose defeat seemed so certain that a newspaper announced his opponent had won when he hadn’t. But as Brendan Nyhan notes, Truman isn’t a particularly good example of a president defying the sort of economic headwinds Obama faces today. At the time GPD was growing at more than six percent — which would ba an absolute miracle given the state of the economy today. As Nyhan writes, “while the idea of the underdog Truman fighting against the “Do Nothing Congress” sounds inspiring, the success of Truman’s re-election campaign was driven by the state of the economy.”
So we don’t know if the Truman prescription will really work for Obama. The question is, at a time when the economy is terrible, is it possible for Obama to foist the blame on to Congress, and by implication on to Republicans?
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