New Poll: Obama approval in California… 54%

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A new poll released today shows that President Obama has a 54% approval rating in California.The survey, conducted for The Press-Enterprise and other California media subscribers, found that just 37 percent of voters disapprove of Obama's performance and 9 percent are without an opinion. His approval rating is identical to a similar survey taken three months ago, and is within 2 percentage points of each Field Poll conducted since January 2010.

The survey presented participants with 12 Republicans who have either announced 2012 bids or who could potentially run. Of them, voters hold the highest regard for Rudy Giuliani, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable view of the former New York City Mayor.(Completely irrelevant because Giuliani is never going to be the nominee.)

Following him is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 38 percent. Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin are tied for third in image rating with 24 percent. Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachman and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich were next with 21 percent of the state's voters viewing them in a favorable light.



The story- Obama remains strong in what should be a non-competitive, solidly blue state in 2012. (For instance, compare this data to the Obama/GOP numbers in Texas)


The good- Obama of course held support with Democrats, but among voters with no party preference (Independents), 50 percent of them approve of Obama's handling of the presidency, while 30 percent disapprove and 12 percent have no opinion. Obama leads GOP front-runner Romney handily in approval ratings, 54% to 38%.


The bad-Even in California there is a very strict partisan divide. Only 17 percent of the state's GOP voters approve of his performance, and only 10 percent are inclined to cast a vote for him in 2012. Secondly, if Obama's approval rating in Texas is 51%, shouldn't it be just a tad higher than 54% in California? (Sorry, that Texas number is just stuck in my head, and this poll provides real good scale as to how good that 51% out of Texas really is.)


Conclusion-California is a must win for us. This should be a non-competitive state in 2012. Early numbers are positive and point in that direction.



Today's Field Poll, conducted between June 3 and June 13, is based on a survey of 950 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.


Full story here:http://www.pe.com/localnews/politics/stories/PE_News_Local_D_field20.36ebff.html

[GSLevel9]

1. Pretty meaningless... If CA were in play we'd be looking at a 45 state wipeout

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2. Agreed. NT

I'm just posting info. If California were in play we would be looking at a nomination fight. Fortunately Obama isn't close to being that low.


One interesting note, although they are different polls (thus different methodologies) and I haven't seen the cross-tabs, is anyone else upbeat that Obama has a 54% approval rating in California, and is just 3% points lower with 51% approval rating in Texas?

[GSLevel9]

3. I don't buy the Texas poll... more like 41% in November. nt

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4. It would be really nice

if we had 1 or 2 more polls to verify or nullify that number.