http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/mary-dejevsky/mary-dejevsky-is-obama-egypts-great-enabler-2201251.htmlMary Dejevsky: Is Obama Egypt's great enabler?
The US President's words have gone with the grain of Middle East societies in a way that the sermons of Bush and Blair did not
Wednesday, 2 February 2011
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Mr Obama did not just yank US foreign policy back in the realist direction taken by his Democrat predecessor, Bill Clinton. He combined that shift with an unusual degree of cultural awareness, most conspicuously in the early overtures he made towards the Muslim countries, trading on his middle name and childhood years spent in Indonesia. One of his first foreign-policy moves was to extend an olive branch, or two, to Iran's President Ahmadinejad – that prominent member of Bush's "axis of evil". His next was a wide-ranging speech that April, addressed to Muslims everywhere. He delivered it in Cairo.
Polite society on both sides of the Atlantic has tended to dismiss both these initiatives as brave, but ultimately doomed. Where, it was asked, as Iran rebuffed approach after approach on the nuclear weapons issue, had Obama's goodwill gestures got him? Had his persistence not simply demeaned the US? The efficacy of the Cairo speech was similarly questioned: nice oratory, pleasing sentiments, but some of the highest praise came not from Arab leaders, but from Israeli moderates – hardly the priority audience he sought to win over.
More than a year and half later, however, the choice of Cairo University looks prescient, and maybe the wrong conclusions have been drawn from Iran. In each country – natural regional powers with proud and distinctive histories – Obama tapped into the same vein of national dignity and the undirected longing of a new and frustrated generation. What he also did, crucially, was to detoxify the democracy brand.snip//
Maybe Obama's early overtures planted a seed – as the passion of Reagan and Thatcher once did with many young people living under Communism – that is starting to bear fruit across the Muslim world. Maybe it is simply that modern communications, plus the similar politics, economics and demographics across the region, are combining to galvanise discontent.
What is evident, though, is that Obama's words have gone with the grain of these societies in a way that the sermons of Bush and Blair did not.
Any social ferment of this order brings huge uncertainty. And it is embarrassing to watch Western leaders struggling to divest themselves of allies from a bygone age. But if you ask which American leader contributed more to the cause of change in the Muslim world, you might not agree – yet – that it was Barack Obama, but you could surely accept that George Bush set it back.