Looking at the broader picture at the end of Obama's second year is a chastening exercise. Those thermospheric hopes of late 2008 for some kind of great liberal renaissance have steadily descended through the lower layers of atmosphere, burning upon re-entry, fighting turbulence and bumpily touching ground with the cabin's decidedly non-euphoric occupants just relieved to have hit the Earth in one piece. As of now, no future missions are scheduled.
What happened? The two frustrations noted above define and reflect the two broad interpretations of the past two years. The first is that the disappointments are Obama's fault. I expect you know the litany: he hired an establishment-centric economic team, he didn't fight hard enough, he folded his hand too early to Republicans and Wall Street and pharmaceutical companies, he endorsed his predecessor's terrorism policies, he and his people spoke disparagingly of the liberal base, and so on.
All true. But let's suppose Obama had hired a fiery populist economic team; pushed for a stimulus package twice the size of the one he got; taken on the pharmaceutical and other big lobbies; somehow unilaterally shut down the Guantánamo Bay detention facility; and spent the past two years whipping American liberals into a paroxysmal state of dudgeon against corporate America. Would things be any better?
Doubtful. In fact they'd probably be worse. He might be sitting on a record in which his signature stimulus and healthcare bills went down to bruising defeat. They may not be very popular, but at least they passed. And while liberal activists would have been happier with a more aggressive posture toward banks and Wall Street, the fact is that Wall Street hates Obama as it is. At least the Dow is up 30% since he took office. Imagine where he'd be if it had gone in the opposite direction.
What does this comparison tell us? That something else has been decisively shaping our discourse besides Obama's shortcomings. And here resides the second interpretation: the Republicans have become more nakedly than ever the party of rich people and corporations, and those rich people and corporations are uniting with Republicans to do everything in their power to block even mildly ameliorative reform. By all appearances, these people believe the country is theirs to run, was somehow stolen from them in 2008, and they're just going to oppose everything until they get it back in 2012.
I lean toward this interpretation, but among what we might call the "professional liberal" class of advocates and pundits, it seems I'm in the minority. Hence the classic liberal circular firing squad that's been on display in Washington over the tax deal.
But I can't really blame the president for not being liberal enough. It's not a liberal country. I do, however, blame him for being in denial about the nature of his opposition. They want to destroy him. He still seems to think he can seduce them, as if they were no different from the couple of conservatives on the Harvard Law Review whose respect he won when he was its president.
The 2008 mojo is gone. He'll never fully get it back. The great liberal renaissance, even if he serves two terms, is not going to happen as some had pictured it two years ago. What seems more likely, at best, is a recovered economy, some foreign policy breakthrough that nudges humankind toward a more peaceable existence, and modest advances on green jobs or national broadband expansion or environmental protection on the margins.
This will be hard for Obama to accept, and harder still for liberals. He may now never be quite the transformational president of our dreams. He can, however, still be a successful one, which is a new kind of mojo and is worth something, because most presidents aren't. But even that won't happen if Obama and liberals keep at the mistrustful bickering. Everyone, from the president down, should recalibrate their hopes, deal with the new reality as it is, and keep their ire aimed at the forces that think the country is theirs by default.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2010/dec/14/barack-obama-democrats-republicans