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-A Little Historical Perspective-In FDR's 1st year unemployment grew from 23.6% to 24.9%

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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 07:35 AM
Original message
-A Little Historical Perspective-In FDR's 1st year unemployment grew from 23.6% to 24.9%
By the end of FDR's second year in office in 1934, he began to turn the corner on the LONG road back to recovery:
------------------------------------------------clip-----------------------------------------------------------------
see:http://www.huppi.com/kangaroo/Timeline.htm

1934
Congress authorizes creation of the Federal Communications
Commission, the National Mediation Board and the Securities
and Exchange Commission. (More)
Congress passes the Securities and Exchange Act and the Trade
Agreement Act. (More)
The economy turns around: GNP rises 7.7 percent, and
unemployment falls to 21.7 percent. A long road to recovery
begins.
Sweden becomes the first nation to recover fully from the
Great Depression. It has followed a policy of Keynesian
deficit spending. (More)
1935
The Supreme Court declares the National Recovery
Administration to be unconstitutional.
Congress authorizes creation of the Works Progress
Administration, the National Labor Relations Board and the
Rural Electrification Administration. (More)
Congress passes the Banking Act of 1935, the Emergency Relief
Appropriation Act, the National Labor Relations Act, and the
Social Security Act. (More)
Economic recovery continues: the GNP grows another 8.1
percent, and unemployment falls to 20.1 percent.
-------------end of clip-------------------------------------

The key differance here is that President Obama took office
as the economy was teetering on the edge of economic
depression, FDR inherited the historic standard of economic
failure. With a little historical perspective it becomes
clear that President Obama has mirrored the economic
accomplishments of President Roosevelt as far as these
differing scenarios allow for comparison.
FDR had critics on the right and on the left, and his
administration like President Obama's was not perfect, but
then nothing touched by human hands ever is. The key
sentence in the above timeline and link is under 1934,
"A long road to recovery begins." And the adjective
"long," is the key word in that key sentence.
If we want to avoid the drawn-out, agonizing pain of economic
recovery we have to quit electing the people, whose economic policies have been in
place when 9 of the last 10 recessions began: Republicans.
see:
http://bureaucountydems.blogspot.com/p/history-of-recessions.html

mike kohr
Bureau County Democrats
http://bureaucountydems.blogspot.com


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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 07:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thank you for today's history reminder
:hi:
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Bluenorthwest Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:13 AM
Response to Original message
2. The key difference is that FDR knew how to communicate
The man had talents that he used to connect with the people, the voters. He also did not waste time making excuses, nor coddling the right wing.
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phleshdef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 11:07 AM
Response to Reply #2
19. No. FDR had a Senate willing to toss his salad & did not have to deal with 24/7 political tabloidism
The willing Senate that he never had to really wrangle with over much of anything is the reason he was able to push his policies. No matter what anyone says about either President, there is no getting around that fact. Give Obama a filibuster proof majority of progressive Senators, then we would have had the most progressive legislations. You don't have that, you don't get that. Period.

And if a guy with the charisma that Obama has was able to enjoy a time without a nationally exposed media hellbent on crucifying anyone and everyone for a story, there would be no communication problem because he wouldn't be competing with that message.
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LawnLover Donating Member (619 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:41 PM
Response to Reply #2
29. Are you saying Obama doesn't connect with voters?
Who are you kidding? Whenever he puts himself out there, people LOVE the guy. His ratings have raised since the midterms -- DESPITE the constant hammering of the media and the Pubcans.

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lame54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:18 AM
Response to Original message
3. and we are going into our 3rd year...
what happened to year 2?
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leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:28 AM
Response to Original message
4. Ummm. Read your own article. In FDR's 2nd year, unemployment fell 3.2%, the 3rd 1.6%.
Edited on Thu Nov-18-10 08:41 AM by leveymg
Unemployment started at a higher baseline in 1932, true, but if the same measure were applied, the U.S. unemployment rate would now be below 5%.

Sorry, BHO is no FDR. He's a competent crisis manager who has stabilized a disintegrating the status quo, but not the transformational figure, the "Hope and Change" we were led to expect.

I wish that loyalists stopped trying to make such comparisons. It's not favorable.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #4
21. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 11:41 AM
Response to Reply #21
22. I didn't make this comparison, the OP did. And, do you have to get personal?
Edited on Thu Nov-18-10 11:45 AM by leveymg
Actually, rise and fall in the unemployment rate is always expressed as points, a percentage of total. So a five point drop is a five point drop, whether the overall rate is 30 percent or ten percent.

Don't be condescending.
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:40 AM
Response to Original message
5. "Obama has mirrored the economic accomplishments of President Roosevelt"
:wow: :rofl:

FAIL. Not even close.

Want to make comparisons he's far closer to Hoover. The dead horse of claiming Obama is this century's FDR is already starting to smell really REALLY bad.
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leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Is this the daily message from the WH press office? Run it up the flagpole, and see who salutes.
Edited on Thu Nov-18-10 08:54 AM by leveymg
Pretty pathetic. They need some fresh blood and ideas in there, as well as at the DNC, DSCC, and DCCC.

Dump 'em all, and put Howard Dean back in charge.
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 09:52 AM
Response to Reply #6
12. Dean, Grayson, Feingold and Weiner - and Dennis K.
THOSE folks have the *cherries* to become the sons of FDR.

I am more offended by people insisting that Obama is the new FDR. The minute he allowed insurance company lobbyists to weigh in on that mess he tried to pass off as healthcare reform -- he lost any chance of using that moniker again.

"We was duped" -- far more than we thought we ever could be. :puke:
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 09:09 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. Can you imagine what President Obama's fate would be if
unemployment jumped 5 points after the mid-terms (see chart below)?

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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 09:45 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. *can you imagine* - just another deflection from the facts
And it goes along with the imaginary *chart* referenced :rofl:
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. See post 8 below
Edited on Thu Nov-18-10 09:49 AM by ProSense
the chart isn't imaginary. Sorry, forgot the little blue link. Crazy of me to assume that anyone would see the post below ("Here's a chart") in such a short thread. What the hell was I thinking?



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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. again, use of charts and tools to deflect the reality based world
Sorry if the crowds are no longer watching the spin with gusto. :shrug:
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #10
16. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:27 PM
Response to Reply #5
28. It Took FDR,The Most Accomplished President Ever, Time to Undo Republican Economic "F" Up
Edited on Thu Nov-18-10 08:34 PM by mikekohr
?

Flip this chart over and superimpose it over the one above. They match up rather closely.
Reality: Hoover ='s Bush,
FDR ='s Obama

?

Job creation graph, Truman to Bush: http://bureaucountydems.blogspot.com/p/job-growth.html

mike kohr
Bureau County Democrats
http://bureaucountydems.blogspot.com
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creon Donating Member (723 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:49 AM
Response to Original message
7. Different situation
Not really comparable. The depression was 3 years on in 1933, and the situation had not improved during the Hoover admin.
The Dem's had a huge majority in 1933, and were, essentially unified. The GOP was badly beaten and demoralized.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:50 AM
Response to Original message
8. Here's a chart
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 09:55 AM
Response to Original message
14. The same people who lionize FDR now
Had they been around at the time, and had to deal with the day to day progress or lack thereof, would have been bashing him the same way they bash Obama now.
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #14
26. nice crystal ball gazing
spin baby spin. :rofl: :eyes:
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LawnLover Donating Member (619 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #26
30. Wow.
The nastiness around here is disheartening. I know things aren't all roses and sunshine, but Jesus.
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avaistheone1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-10 02:31 AM
Response to Reply #30
31. Why would you want
to diss FDR when he was such a giant no one to this day can fill is shoes in any form?
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-10 11:52 AM
Response to Reply #26
35. Whaddya mean, crystal ball?
This requires no prediction of the future. I am talking about the past.

The past concentrates itself enough that you can look back on it without remember the day to day difficulties. Things that were hard then seem funny even, now.

So I stand by my point. FDR's admin. had struggles too, and many years of work.
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impik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 10:13 AM
Response to Original message
15. Nice try, but you're talking to the wall. Facts and history means to these people as much as
they mean to Palin.
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ampad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 11:11 AM
Response to Reply #15
20. Maybe Huffington Post should write an article on it
and pass it around as a rumor.
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-10 08:31 AM
Response to Reply #20
34. Ha! Yeah, they might try to actually post something that actually informs
people now and then. And I used to respect Arianna.
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Japanbest Donating Member (3 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
17. Problem is, we are at the end of the second year
where's the turnaround?
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craigmatic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 11:05 AM
Response to Original message
18. FDR made the depression palitable to people he spoke to the people and made them feel like he was
working for them. Obama just got in and pushed his own agenda without really selling it to the people. FDR figured out a way to ride the anger by being president for the common people and making enemies of the rich. Obama got run over by the the anger of the common people and made friends with the rich.
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 11:59 AM
Response to Original message
23. It's obvious FDR didn't man up. He was also an elitist corporate shill sell-out.
:sarcasm:
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 12:39 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
25. But the Great Depression started in 1929 - 4 years before FDR took office.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a1/US_Employment_Graph_-_1920_to_1940.svg

This chart shows that the tide had been stemmed long before FDR took the oath of office, roughly in 1932.

For Obama, the hemorrhaging of jobs only began just before he took office - roughly 4 months prior. This makes a comparison actually a lot more favorable to Obama in this context, given that the worst was still yet to come when he stepped into the job, whereas we'd already seen the worst of the Depression by the time FDR did. In other words, Obama had to stop the loss of jobs before he could start creating new ones, while FDR could transition directly into creating new jobs.
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-10 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #25
27. Excellent observation Nicholas, keep the facts coming, no matter how unpopular
or inconvenient.

mike kohr
Bureau County Democrats
http://bureaucountydems.blogspot.com
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-10 02:35 AM
Response to Reply #25
32. Agreed.
Not only that, but I'd wager it politically helped FDR that the Great Depression happened four years prior to his administration because all of the economic meltdown happened under a Republican president.

Pres. Obama, however, came into office during the worst month for jobs during the 2007-2009 recession. So while the recession started under a Republican president, the worst of it happened the month Obama was sworn into office. That really blurs the line for many Americans.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-10 02:39 AM
Response to Original message
33. More perspective - FDR's second term started with a major recession.
A recession similar to what we've just recently seen. Unemployment in the first year of his second term ballooned to 20% nationally.

In 1938, unemployment was 19% nationally.



So while Roosevelt got America on the right track, it was a very slow climb to the top.
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