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Edited on Mon Dec-07-09 12:02 PM by Perky
Because She has no lengthy legislative or executive records conservatives are able to see what they want to see in her and why she has a solid core of devotees on the right. If you recall this is precisely what the catcalls were about Obama before his Iowa victory. (That is where the analogy ends...because Obama has never been thought of as one with out substance). But while Palin's lack of credentials may ultimately be her undoing, given the current political environment on the right. and given the primary calendar...she is the GOP front runner for 2012 because she appeals to Southern White women for one reason and Southern white males for another, These voters have always been much more dogmatic than pragmatic. They vote for those who "share their values" and Palin even though she is from Alaska is very much like them.
But she is also presumptive for another practical reason which I think gets overlooked. It's the money game. Other potential candidates understand that a protracted primary battle will be excruciatingly expensive and self defeating when victory means you are going to face off against President Obama with a general election war chest of over $800 million. A nasty primary battle is going to suck so much out of the GOP that an effective battle in the general will be nearly impossible.
Given the disarray in the party and the hardening factionalism and how little press anyone else in the party is getting and how ideologically demanding the GOP voters are, stronger candidates may look at the landscape, the money game, the united well-funded opposition and decide to take a pass. Keep their powder dry; let Palin get the nod, and become the sacrificial lamb, let the election vanquish the Tea Partyers and the fundies and then start an effort to rebuild build the party for 2016 from scratch. In essence. Let Palin be Goldwater and become Nixon,
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