RNC Chaos Threatens GOP Chances For House TakeoverThe chaos at the Republican National Committee threatens to cost Republicans the chance to take control of the House of Representatives, Republican strategists fear. During midterm elections, the national committee plays two essential roles: it serves as a bank account that can be drawn upon to shore up House races or put others into play. Second, it coordinates the party's field operations and funds joint "Victory" committees with state parties. The RNC, at the moment, is barely fulfilling the second function and has less than $10 million on hand, so it cannot help much with House races.
Charlie Cook, the political oddsmaker, rates 73 House races as competitive. To win the House, Republicans would need to pick up 44 seats. They have the candidates to do that, but Democrats have a significant financial advantage to use to hold seats; the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has twice has much cash on as the National Republican Campaign Committee. As Cook has noted, even if Republicans win most of the tossup seats and races that lean Republican, they'd have to win about half the seats that lean Democrat right now. The degraded political environment, the sluggish or non-existent economic recovery, and the enthusiasm of Republican base voters are intangibles that, properly harnessed, could easily put Republicans over the top.
But without a solid field program to bring voters to the polls, and facing well-funded Democratic incumbents, that edge could be lost on election day.
The party's well-regarded political director, Gentry Collins, has seen his budget slashed considerably, and state parties have complained about the condition of the party's Voter Vault datamart. Many state parties are outsourcing their targeting operations, which would have been unthinkable during the flush years of the Bush-Cheney administrations.
The latest scandal, involving $7m that the party's own treasurer categorized as unreported debt, will undermine any opportunity the party has to regain its financial footing before the election. The NRCC does not expect any money from the RNC, and is instead relying on the much-less efficient mechanisms created by Republican strategists and donors who can't coordinate with campaigns and the committees.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/10/07/rnc-chaos-threatens-gop-chances-for-house-takeover/60263