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NC Senate: Day after PPP comes out with a poll Burr 38-33 lead, Ras has Burr up by 15

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 03:26 PM
Original message
NC Senate: Day after PPP comes out with a poll Burr 38-33 lead, Ras has Burr up by 15
RASMUSSEN:

2010 Senate
52% Burr (R), 37% Marshall (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Richard Burr: 56 / 38 (chart)
Elaine Marshall: 44 / 43


PPP:
PPP is a NC based pollster, so I trust them on this poll a little bit more:

Richard Burr begins the month of July with a 5 point lead over Elaine Marshall, 9 points less than the advantage Elizabeth Dole had over Kay Hagan at the same point in the cycle two years ago.

Burr's at 38% to 33% for Marshall and a surprising 10% for Libertarian Michael Beitler.

FURTHERMORE WHILE BURR HAS A PLUS 18 POINT FAVORABLE RATING IN RAS, IN PPP IT'S NOT SO GOOD:

Burr's relatively anonymity for an incumbent Senator can be seen in his approval numbers. 28% of voters still have no opinion of him, with those who do splitting negatively. 34% like the job he's doing while 39% disapprove.



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phleshdef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 03:41 PM
Response to Original message
1. Rasmussen is only credible right before an election.
Overbiased for the conservative candidates up until the big day comes, then they drop the bias so that they can maintain credibility.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 03:49 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. good point.
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JoePhilly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Absolutely true
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 03:45 PM
Response to Original message
2. I KNEW he would do this. He isn't a pollster, he just tries to drive a narrative until just before
an election.
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 03:50 PM
Response to Original message
4. Ras is all about creating a (false) narrative, pushing talking points, etc.
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michreject Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 04:54 PM
Response to Original message
6. Not only is ppp a NC based polling service
They are a Democratic party affiliated polling service.

Can they be unbiased?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Policy_Polling
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. It's ranked as one of the world's most accurate. That's more important. (nt)
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michreject Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-07-10 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I read that
It's just that some polls give me a false sense of security. I've been keeping an eye on the KY polls for a while now. Every poll save one had Paul with a big lead. The one that had Conway leading was Kos. It later came out that Kos was getting bad data. PPP a more trusted poll says the race is tied. Every other poll has Paul in the lead.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_paul_vs_conway-1148.html
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