If You Had To Stake Your DU Membership On It, Who Would You Say WILL Be The repuke nominee in 2012?

[Dinger]

I don't have a real clue, at least none I'd stake my DU membership on. Can anyone help me out? Thanks in advance.:)

[secondwind]

1. Thune or Romney.....but hey, THEY don't even know who will be their leader!

[Lil Missy]

2. Fortunately, I do not take DU that seriously. n/t

[angelicwoman]

3. Rubio n/t

[DrToast]

18. I think Rubio will be a candidate eventually. Not sure if it will be 2012 or later

With these two year campaigns lately, he'd pretty much have to announce he's running as soon as he gets sworn in as a Senator if he's running '12.

[Mojambo]

4. Cantor, Thune, outside shot for Romney

He'll be white and rich.

[lazarus]

5. Bob McDonnell

new governor of Virginia. He's the most likely, for a variety of reasons.

[Recovered Repug]

27. He'd be my guess, too. n/t

[northoftheborder]

6. Bloomberg?

[Milo_Bloom]

52. He may run, but not as a republican

He's even less of a republican than Rudy, who couldn't win over their base.

[Enrique]

7. Jim Bunning

campaign slogan "Tough Shit". :patriot:

[saltpoint]

8. Pawlenty. Certainly not because he's any good, but because Romney

will see the Tea Party crazies gathering forces to run Palin on an indy third party, making his potential nomination uncompetitive with Obama.

Romney would make it close one-to-one against Obama. With Palin (or some other kook) leading a third party of nutbags and screeching secessionist morons, the percentage Romney needs to carry say, Pennsylvania, drops below the competition line. Obama sails in a field of three.

Huck acts like he's already out for good, which is fine with me.

Too early for Thune.

There's no guarantee for the Pukes that Obama will be sufficiently vulnerable to knock off.

Pawlenty picks up the torch and runs but loses.

Obama is a two-termer if he wishes to be.

[golfguru]

33. Huckster is out definitely because

he is back to his old eating habits and has gained
a lot of weight lately.

[seattle_blue]

38. Lest you forget

Huckabee also played a key role in the release of the guy who shot the four police officers in Washington State.

[saltpoint]

51. The early reports show him as a faint presence in GOP events in

key primary states, and suggest that he just isn't on the horn to make connections and raise cash.

[golfguru]

59. Huckster was always in it for money and now that he is feeding

at the Fox News trough, he is no longer hungry to run through
a grueling presidential contest.

[saltpoint]

61. I love that image and the language fits perfectly.

[Oregone]

9. Brown or Romney

Brown is the tabula rasa guy who has momentum now, though no one knows anything about him

[boppers]

11. Brown's already pissing off the baggers.

Tabla rasa didn't last much longer than a few votes, when he voted for cloture on the jobs/hiring-tax-credit bill, the nutters freaked out.

[Oregone]

22. And you think thats a bad thing for him?

There are far more votes for Republicans to win in the center than to lose on the extreme far right.

[David Zephyr]

10. Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush

In either order.

[cornermouse]

17. The religious right won't accept a Mormon. n/t

[MUAD_DIB]

21. Sure they will...especially against a CommieMuslim SocialistForeigner.

Those racist bastards would kiss the ass of the Antichrist if it would get them back into the White House.

[Name removed]

28. Deleted message

Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[jenmito]

12. John Thune. n/t

[craigmatic]

13. A bland guy like romney or some other blue state conservative guy from outside the south

[saltpoint]

14. I wouldn't rule out Haley Barbour as the veep nom.

I would rule out Haley Barbour as an ethical person, however.

But not as the Pukes' veep nom.

[Ian David]

15. Scott Brown or Ben Stein. n/t

[stevedeshazer]

16. Milton Romney. I am sure of it.

I secretly favor Huckleberry Graham, though. Tom Tancredo would be nice.

[avaistheone1]

19. Romney

[MUAD_DIB]

20. Romney.

Palin will do her bit to make crazy appear slightly normal. Then when everybody realizes that she won't win against Obama the GOP will send in Mittens to look completely rational compared to her.

[shireen]

23. someone we've not heard of ....

white male, young, charming, excellent orator, good-looking and fit, sharp dresser with a common touch, lovely wife and kids, faithful devoted husband, good father, makes BS sound smart, an inexperienced blank slate with minimal political record.

i'm sure the neocon puppet-masters are out there looking for their man. people like Huckabee, Romney, and Palin have too much baggage. They're going to be old news in 2012.

[lazarus]

30. That's

Bob McDonnell right there.

[rasputin1952]

24. One of these...

The GOP just hasn't gone to the bin yet...:D

[JI7]

25. Palin

[Arkana]

26. Pawlenty.

Only one who can survive the primaries.

[timeforpeace]

29. Romney.

[dgibby]

31. Don't count out DeMInt.

He's to the right of Attilla the Hun, and the radicals, fundies, and tea baggers love him.

[scheming daemons]

32. Mitt Romney

[Skip Intro]

34. I'd say Romney, with a 50/50 chance that Palin will be the running mate. nt

[Paper Roses]

42. Even though Romney was our gawd-awful governor, I can't see

him picking Palin. I don't like him, never did, but I don't think he suffers fools gladly.

[Nancy Waterman]

55. Romney/Palin

that is the ticket.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

35. L. Cheney?

[harun]

36. Jeb Bush

[Ildem09]

37. Romney/Ryan

[Beacool]

39. I don't know, but it won't be Palin.

;)

[Raine]

40. Romney, it won't be Palin cause even the repukes

aren't quite that stupid.

edit: typoed Romney, corrected it.

[Enthusiast]

41. Pawlenty nt

[michreject]

43. Palin/Jindal

In that order.

[LeftyAndProud60]

44. Thune. He actually makes Obama look like a dwarf. Appearances matter and that guy is tall as hell.nt

[LeftyAndProud60]

45. JEb Bush is my 2nd pick, then Rubio. NT

[BeyondGeography]

46. After making such a stink about HCR, they can't pick Romney

of Romneycare fame. He was my choice, but it will have to be someone else now. Which pleases me because I think he's about as good as they can do. Who else? No idea, except that I am sure to find him (yeah, forget Palin)appalling.

[old mark]

47. Too soon to tell. GOPers have to thrash it out with the Baggers, who may

field their own candidates. I think the GOP is trying to determine whether to jump to their center or to go right with their candidates, and they won't decide till they have better insight into how the Baggers will go.

I THINK the Baggers will field their own candidates, and the GOP will find some luke warm guy they consider a "centerist", but they may go even farther right.

Remember, many GOPers think McCain is a Liberal and that's why they lost...

mark

[Jennicut]

48. Romney, who else do they have at this point?

[saltpoint]

49. Rick Santorum.

LOL.

[saltpoint]

50. If we grocery-list the GOP's options, it sure looks like a weak bench:

Dick Cheney. I don't think so.
Condi. I don't think so.
Petraeus. Not out of the question but he doesn't seem that interested in the job.
Mitch Daniels.
Mike Pence.
Rudy Giuliani. Snowball-in-Hell Division candidate.
Ron Paul. I doubt it.
Tom Ridge. I think Ridge is too thick to be a presidential candidate.
Thune. Maybe for 2016.
Mark Sanders. Uh, no.
John Ensign. Uh, no.
Pawlenty. He wants the job but currently there are only I think 29 people pledged to vote for him.
Jindal. If only the electorate were more inclined toward clueless right-wing exorcists, he'd have a chance.
John Boehner. Agent Orange. In his defense, I will say he dresses nicely.
Jeb. His older brother kind of ruined it for Jeb.
Paul Ryan. Prepubescent neocon.
Newt Gingrich. Hybrid outcome of a Pokemon character and The Michelin Man.
Santorum. He's...I don't know... too repellent to win over voters' hearts.
Romney. He's loaded but the base still is edgy on that Mormon thing. Plus he's a creep.
Huckabee. He doesn't seem to crave the job at this point. Charming, but unstable.
Barbour. Good god, y'all.
Palin. If she loses in Iowa, which she will, I think she bolts for a (probably) long-planned third party fringe run on a burn-the-Constitution platform.

Evan Bayh. He sounds to me post-announcement like the candidate he has in mind for an "independent" ticket is himself.

Michael Bloomberg. The demographics don't favor it but money does talk. And the man doesn't have anything else to do.

[JNelson6563]

68. John Boehner. Agent Orange. In his defense, I will say he dresses nicely.

Good one. Loved this too:

"Newt Gingrich. Hybrid outcome of a Pokemon character and The Michelin Man."

Bingo!

Julie

[saltpoint]

80. Hey there, JNelson. Good to see ya, for sure.

Hope all's well your way.

Happy March 2010!

[SKKY]

53. Either Romney or Pawlenty...

...I like our chances against either.

[LatteLibertine]

54. Right now I'm thinking Romney

however if you look at the massive amounts of money lobbyists have invested in McCain, we could see him again.

http://ow.ly/UyZe

IMO Republicans would have to insane to push him again. It's likely they won't reveal who it will be for as long as possible to avoid scrutiny from opposition.

It's true many fundies don't care for Mitt's religion and it won't matter to the most independents.

[lojasmo]

56. Stopped caring about my DU membership...

During the 2004 primaries. Daffy duck?

[tekisui]

57. Depends on the economy.

If unemployment is under 8% by the end of 2011, it will be a sacrificial offering. Someone without a future.

If the job numbers are worse than that--it will be Romney.

[hisownpetard]

58. Clarabelle.

[Bette Noir]

60. Someone we've never heard of.

All the famous repubs are too well hated to win, and the power structure knows it. They'll pick some unknown, like Sarah was two years ago.

[busymom]

62. Who cares.

[BlueIris]

63. Easy:

Joe Lieberman.

[era veteran]

64. Some sold out prick

Mitt I guess

[chieftain]

65. It'll be Jeb

The slogan will be "Don't Worry, I'm the Smart One"

[krabigirl]

66. Someone not on the radar. Definitely not Romney or Palin.

[warm regards]

67. Romney / Bachmann

A pretty boy and a woman.

[slackmaster]

69. Romney

Sarah Palin won't be on the ticket.

[Yavin4]

70. Depends on the Economy

If everything is going well by 2012, then it will be a sacrificial candidate like Haley Barbour.

If everything is still bad, then it will be Mitt Romney with Rubio as his running mate.

[DFLforever]

71. Romney

The GOP will play it safe and serious.

It's their best chance.

[Blue_Tires]

72. Fuckabee

[Perky]

73. If she chooses to run, Sarah Palin with win the nomination

If she gets the support of the RTL leadership in Iowa, She wins. Bypasses NH and goes straight to to South Carolina to face off with what ever Repuke is left standing after NH.

She will get 40% of the vote if there are three candidates left she will get 60% if it just two andidates because no candidate will go after her as unqualified because they will look like a bully.


After wins in SC and Iowas... she will be prohibitive.

[Perky]

74. Romney will not win He is too polished for the Tea Partyers and too Mormon for the Fuindies.

[Ikonoklast]

75. I had to break out the 'ol Oiuja Board for this one.

Let me channel those voices from the Great Beyond.....uhhh, yes, it will be a person named...L...O...S...E...R.


Sounds about right.

[quiller4]

76. Romney or Gingrich. n/t

[OnceRepublican]

77. One can only hope, it would be Palin

a 100% guarantee of an Obama second term.

[themaguffin]

78. Romney. Big Business will make sure to it.

[Kaleva]

79. It WILL not be Obama

[Blue_In_AK]

81. It won't be Sarah.

She will be destroyed by then.

[ChiciB1]

82. WEEEEEEELLLLLL.... Believe It Or Not, I Live In Florida AND Have ALREADY

seen TWO bumper stickers saying "SCOTT BROWN - President - 2012!" That's was JUST TODAY on my way home from the doctor!

The guy with the PINK shorts looks like he may be someone THEY LIKE!!

[Lyric]

83. Romney.

[SoxFan]

84. Romney

The GOP is far more deferential towards the candidate who is perceived as having earned his turn. Even John McCain and Bob Dole, who were never popular with the conservative base, were nominated in large part because it was "their turn".

Romney will have money, insider support, and a relatively weak field of opponents. Palin is batshit crazy, Barbour is an oily con man, Daniels probably won't run, Huckabee has found his calling as a right wing Dr. Phil. I can't see the Republicans nominating a relative unknown like Thune or Cantor over a safe, boring commodity like Willard.

Democrats are far less likely to accept the Establishment pick. George McGovern beat out Ed Muskie, Jimmy Carter won against Mo Udall and Birch Bayh, Gary Hart came within a hair's breadth of beating Walter Mondale, and Barack Obama beat out Hillary Clinton. In 1992, Paul Tsongas and Jerry Brown each won a sizable number of primaries and caucuses before Bill Clinton locked it up. You rarely see that sort of thing on the GOP side (Iowa, where religious groups dominate the GOP caucus, is the exception).