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Obama still bouncing in (R)asmussen poll - "Presidential Approval Index" up 13 pts since Friday.

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:03 AM
Original message
Obama still bouncing in (R)asmussen poll - "Presidential Approval Index" up 13 pts since Friday.
Yes, I know Rasmussen is a POS Repug pollster with a messed-up methodology and loaded analysis.

Still...here it is if you want it.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Monday, February 01, 2010

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 35% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. That’s the highest level of strong approval for the President in more than seven months and reflects a significant bounce following the State-of-the-Union address. Before the speech, just 27% voiced strong approval.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) now Strongly Disapprove down from 42% before the speech. Putting it all together gives Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -4. That’s the President’s best Approval Index rating in months. In fact, he’s earned a better rating on only two days in the past six months (see trends).

When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis. For the full-month of January, the President’s Approval Index rating improved a point to -14. That’s the first time his numbers have improved since September.

The President’s recent gains have come from firing up his base and one of the keys to Election 2010 will be to see whether he can maintain this increased level of enthusiasm. If he does, Republican gains could be less than some are now projecting. On the other hand, if the improvement turns out to be just a short-term bounce, then the GOP may enjoy better prospects. New polling out today shows that Republicans continue to have the edge in the Florida Senate race.

The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
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timeforpeace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:22 AM
Response to Original message
1. Funny how Rasmussen's credibility around here has risen so suddenly.
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. It is not credible to me.
Their measure of disapproval seems way out of wack and their Presidential approval index in nuts. The overall trend is what I look at, if it is up or down. Same with Gallup or any other poll. Rasmussen has a bias toward Rethugs, always has.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:29 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. The OP specifically has not give any credibility to Rasmussen
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:35 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Thanks.
:hi:

Is Oxendine finished? In a weird way, I wonder if that whole "son shoots guy" story will generate some sympathy in the more backwoods part of the state. ... Barnes coming out for beer on Sunday is a score!
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:37 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. We have real good shot to win it. Very poor GOP field - even by GOP standards
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Kolesar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:30 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. I agree with Wyldwolf in #3 eom
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:32 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. Take the OP for whatever it's worth to you. I expressed those caveats above.
It sure sounds like you are disappointed to see some promising numbers, even if they come from a somewhat dodgy source. Credibility. Yeah. Right.



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sharp_stick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 11:35 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. Who's been calling it credible?
All I see from them is an inability to continue to tank the ratings the way they'd like.

Rasmussen was, is and probably always will be noted as the most negative of the large polling firms to follow a Democratic President.

It's nice to see this poll forced to show a bump, temporary or not.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 12:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. You're putting words in the OP's mouth
Know the right reads Ras and that's why we keep an eye on it. That doesn't mean it has credibility.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
10. You would think it would have happened much sooner
Seeing as they have a sterling record when it comes to predicting elections.

The guy is a Republican sure, but you don't have to read his analysis to appreciate his great election track record.
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. This comes from the ass-kicking given the GOP senators by the president
SOTU was also good.
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
11. I see no reason to doubt the polling itself, just the metric never used before
As this metric was never used before Obama, I went to George Bush's polling report.com numbers - http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/01/29/the-next-stop-for-senator-41-a-capitol-crib/

Scrolling down to the first poll that breaks approval in to 5 categories - NBC/WSJ, here is where his last 4 numbers were if you subtracted very positive from very negative: (4/23/09, -32), (1/9/09, -28), (12/2/08, -32)

That said, one thing I did not expect to see, was that he was positive on this metric all through 2004 - suggesting the Republicans moved far faster to absolutely disapprove of Obama than Democrats did for Bush.

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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-01-10 03:02 PM
Response to Original message
13. Freepers will be morose. They live and die by Rasmussen. Rubber Ball by Bobby Vee
Edited on Mon Feb-01-10 03:03 PM by yellowcanine
Dedicated to all Freepers everywhere.


RUBBER BALL
Album : Very Best Of Bobby Vee
(Aaron Schröder / Ann Orlowski)
Bobby Vee - 1961


Rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you (2x)
Ah-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh

I'm like a rubber ball
Baby that's all that I am to you (bouncy, bouncy) (bouncy, bouncy)
Just a rubber ball
'cause you think you can be true to two (bouncy, bouncy) (bouncy, bouncy)
You bounce my heart around (You don't even put her down)
And like a rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you
Rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you

If you stretch my love till it's thin enough to tear
I'll just stretch my arms to reach you anywhere
And like a rubber ball, I'll come bouncing back to you
Rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you.

You bounce my heart around (You don't even put her down)
And like a rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you
Rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you
Ah-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh
(Bouncy, bouncy) (bouncy, bouncy) (2x)
Eee-eee-eee

I'm like a rubber band
When on my shoulder you do tap (bouncy, bouncy) (bouncy, bouncy)
Just a rubber band
Because my heartstrings, they just snap (bouncy, bouncy) (bouncy, bouncy)
You go and squeeze me till I'm all aflame
(She calls you by some other guy's name)
But like a rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you
Rubber ball, I come bouncing back to you
Rubber ball, I'll come bouncing back to you

Rubber ball, I'll come bouncing back to you (2x)

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Go2Peace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-02-10 01:33 AM
Response to Original message
14. Just goes to show, what progressives have been saying... WORKS!
How long have a few folks on this board been fighting when progressives said that hitting harder and fighting for serious change would actually be energizing?

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