ALOT can happen in 11 months

[Clintonista2]

11 months is an eternity in politics. 11 months is Hillary Clinton leading the polls by 70% and then losing the primaries. At this point even suggesting that the right is likely to pick up seats in congress is absurd. Not to mention it looks like a pretty strong teabag-party movement is springing up, which would probably end up splitting the RW vote.

[Tempest]

1. The right will pick up seats

It's hard to buck a trend that has never failed.

But they won't get enough to take over either house of Congress.

[Clintonista2]

3. Again, unless you mail me proof of you owning the worlds only functioning crystal ball

I'll have to disagree.

[Tempest]

6. It doesn't take a crystal ball

In almost every mid-term election the majority party has lost seats.

But since you want a crystal ball:

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=AIA2009090301

While losses for the president's party have been the norm in midterm elections, the data in Table 1 show that the pattern has been more consistent in House elections than in Senate elections and that the losses have been considerably larger in second or later midterms than in first midterms. In the first midterm election after a party takes over the White House, the average loss has been only 17 seats in the House and one seat in the Senate; in second or later midterms, on the other hand, the average loss has been close to 30 seats in the House and between 5 and 6 seats in the Senate. The good news for Democrats is that 2010 will be their first midterm after taking over the White House last year.


It would take quite a naive person to believe Democrats will pick up seats in November.

[HuckleB]

2. Indeed!

Now, since we know we have some time, perhaps we can discuss some of the issues rather than simply scream ludicrous labels at one another.

[tblue]

4. What a concept!

Discussing issues has gotten me called a lot of names, tho.

[napi21]

5. I would be SHOCKED if the Dems didn't lose SOME seats,

but I agree with you. It's way too early to be making predictions like those doomsdayers have been spouting.

I alsop read an article just an hour ago that explained that Dems have had 10 Congressmen say they aren't running but the Pubs have had FOURTEEN!

I'm going to assume the HC bill WILL PASS, and if the unemployment figures improve, & real estate stabelizes, I think there will be less than 20 seats taken by the Pubs.

Of course, we also have to do everything we can to get Dems to the polls! That's one of the main reasons the party occupying the WH loses seats in off year elections. Lack of turnout!

[dionysus]

7. i can understand worrying by some folks, but a lot here talk like they WANT it to happen, as some

sort of payback...

to see even a couple people suggest bernie sanders be primaried from the left is hillarious

[NYC_SKP]

8. Go Teabaggers! Rally your forces, gather ye all, old and young!!!