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And it very likely resulted from CIA spying on Haiti's president, Preval, and Haiti's hugely popular former president, Aristide, whom the Bushwhacks brutally ousted in 2004 and who is living in exile in South Africa. Preval promised the people of Haiti that he would bring Aristide back. He reneged, no doubt after U.S. kneecappings. But he's grown rebellious and was likely planning to grant Aristide the passport/visa papers he needs to get through the U.S. military-controlled Haitian airport. The CIA was listening in, and brought "Baby Doc" out of gold-plated mothballs and back to Haiti as a warning to the Haitian people: 'Try to be independent, try to set up a decent democracy and bloody tyranny will certainly be visited upon you!'
A warning and a preventative measure. Aristide CARES about Haiti. He wouldn't want his return to set off another round of rightwing death squads and civil war. THAT is another reason that the CIA re-introduced Haitians to "Baby Doc." Aristide is hesitating. This gives the U.S. time to rig the Haitian election again--after they rigged the recount, in which they bumped out Preval's chosen successor, Celestin, in favor of a whacky, rightwing connected popular singer, so that their actual choice, Mirlande "capitalism with the a friendly face" Manigat, would win. CEPR has recommended a complete re-do of the Haitian election (one reason being that SEVENTY-FIVE PERCENT of Haitian voters DIDN'T VOTE, because the majority party in Haiti--Aristide's party--was banned from the ballot).
A complete re-do of the election will likely mean that Aristide and his party being ON the ballot. The U.S. wants to prevent that at all cost. Although Bill Clinton reinstated Aristide, back in the '90s after a rightwing coup, the U.S. doesn't want him any more. He has learned too many hard lessons about U.S. intentions in Haiti and will most certainly not bend over for U.S. corporate/war profiteer interests, like Preval has done and like Manigat would do. He will be even MORE independent than before, and he will cry foul if, as is probably the case, the U.S. wants the $9 billion in earthquake aid that it controls to mostly end up in U.S. corporate pockets.
Preval may have been balking at this as well, which may be how his falling out with the U.S. started, and why the reconstruction has been so slow, almost non-existent--with a million Haitians still living under tarps and cholera breaking out. But Preval didn't have the political clout to fight this battle. Aristide does. He is wildly popular in Haiti. And Aristide certainly has more potential allies these days, than he did in 2004. Brazil, for one (which has UN peacekeepers in Haiti) and just elected leftist Dilma Rousseff, Lula da Silva's successor. The entire political landscape has changed since 2004, with leftist governments all over Latin America. This is likely why the U.S. cocked up an election team, using the 'OAS' name, consisting of six people from the U.S., France and Canada and one Jamaican--and not one other Latin American country. How the U.S. got away with this, I don't know. But it is surely going to harm the OAS's reputation as honest election monitors. And I have the feeling that the rest of Latin America is waiting for this corrupt U.S. scene to play out, and will assist Aristide's return and help Haiti conduct an honest election. The U.S. knows that Aristide has many potential allies now, that were not there before--yet another reason for them to threaten Haiti with "Baby Doc" and try to delay Aristide's return until they can complete their phony election.
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