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Mathematical model project Harris win in California's AG race

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victoryparty Donating Member (416 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-09-10 07:28 PM
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Mathematical model project Harris win in California's AG race
Today’s updated vote totals for the California Attorney General’s race show Republican Steve Cooley expanding his lead over Democrat Kamala Harris, but an independent mathematical analysis by The Punditty Project predicts that when all ballots are counted, Harris will win the too-close-to-call contest by about 13,000 votes.

Currently, Cooley holds a 51,439 vote lead over Harris, with an estimated 1,407,553 ballots uncounted. Projections show Harris receiving 675,694 of these votes, with Cooley getting 611,452. When Cooley’s current lead is added to his projected total, Harris wins by 12,803 votes.

Full report:
http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/7284653-mathematical-model-shows-harris-winning-californias-ag-race
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KamaAina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-09-10 07:34 PM
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1. That's assuming all those ballots GET counted
at this point, probably most of them are provisionals (and most of those likely for Harris).

Fortunately, since we have Debra Bowen as our SoS, the likelihood of Florida/Ohio-style shenanigans is quite minimal.
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-09-10 08:21 PM
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2. That's kind of what I was hoping would happen.
That she would catch up at the end like she did with the automated vote.
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David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-09-10 09:22 PM
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3. Well that would be very good news.
I do not like the idea of even one Republican statewide office holder, and certainly not in that office.
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