How can they call the vote with only 7% counted?

[proud2BlibKansan]

Yes I have done the math. Still makes zero sense.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

1. What race?

[proud2BlibKansan]

4. Rand Paul

[Proud Liberal Dem]

5. Oh

:eyes: :puke:

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Same reason they gave Obama Vermont with 0% in 2008.

[Parker CA]

3. Wondering the same thing. Seems strange but I'mmno statistician.

[stray cat]

6. They know which counties are typically the key -

[JI7]

7. history, exit polls etc

[butterfly77]

8. Exacrly,what I have been saying over and over,,,

and they are going by exit polls.

[Drunken Irishman]

12. Not just exit polls...

They're doing exit polls, raw data, historical data and then comparing all that to come to a consensus.

[MinneapolisMatt]

9. Seriously -

- read at Kos they haven't even counted the Urban areas yet!

[gkhouston]

17. Christ! If they haven't counted Fayette and Jefferson counties, then anything could happen. n/t

[Jennicut]

10. Because Conway won't win there based on the exit polls.

I don't think the final tally will be that close.

[AlinPA]

11. Because it is Kentucky.

[Contrary1]

13. Hell, they're calling Indiana with less than 6%. n/t

[Fresh_Start]

14. Because they look at which precincts are responding

and compare the results in those precinchs with the historical results of those precincts.
And they make an assumption (which is generally true) that the makeup of the precincts are fairly stable election to election.

I know I tried to figure this out a few elections before and it made sense when I saw the results at the microlevel.

Some of the states election results websites show you the precinct results, if you can find a few and look it will make more sense.

[unblock]

15. how can you know the ocean is salty by tasting only 0.000000001% of it?

[kywildcat]

16. you know, I've wondered the same thing

and frankly, I wish just one race that they call with 7% would turn out wrong and bite them in the ass. personally, I think every pundit should be fired and we only have news-so many hours a day (not 24) and people who speculate the way the pundits do-be fined and jailed. Dumb Fuckers.