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Is there a historical precedent for early voting edges and party winnings? Looks like dems hold an

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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:26 AM
Original message
Is there a historical precedent for early voting edges and party winnings? Looks like dems hold an
Edited on Tue Nov-02-10 10:30 AM by uponit7771
...edge in early voting and I saw in Tarrant County TX the early voting on Friday was out the door till the last minute filled mostly with blacks and Hispanics.

Thx In Advance for any input
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Tippy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. K&R.....For sanity....
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donco6 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:29 AM
Response to Original message
2. Not that I've seen.
And actually, regardless of cell phones and Bradley effect - most polls actually do call it right. But nothing wrong with hoping. (ps. check your spelling on precedent).
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. ...thx, but EVERY model this year I've seen does not include the rise in early voting numbers...
...compared to the last mid term election.

There are PLENTY that compare to 08 election because MSM is full of assholes who want to push the doom gloom meme.
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uncommon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:29 AM
Response to Original message
3. Idk but I can't go until like 6:30 after work...
and I am voting Dem so...
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Hepburn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:30 AM
Response to Original message
4. Heavy turn out ~~ particularly of minorities ~~ usually favors the Dems. n/t
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. I was surprised really, the conservative holding the sign looked at me as to say "not another one"..
...and said thx for voting with tight lips.

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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:33 AM
Response to Original message
7. Maybe
Early voting is still a very new thing, so we don't have too many historical cases to draw from.
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:37 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Right, I was reading it was tracked in 04 but saw heavy dem turn out in 06 & 08 and heavy turn out..
...now for dems.

Sigh, hopefully we'll see some numbers and trends on this
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 10:35 AM
Response to Original message
8. Early voting is too new to make credible comparisons.
Just over the past few cycles many states have made it much easier to vote early than it has been in the past, I think we will have to wait and see.
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Exultant Democracy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
10. To quote Sam "Dems and diehards vote early."
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