2010 Forecast: Can Democrats Hold the House By Winning on the Margins?

[Omaha Steve]

http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2010/10/can-democrats-hold-the-house-by-winning-on-the-margins.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

October 06, 2010 7:31 AM

ABC News' Amy Walter reports:

At a meeting with reporters yesterday afternoon a senior Democrat walked through the “untold story” of the 2010 election. While conceding that Republicans will gain seats in November, this Democrat contends that there are four significant, but underreported factors that will help Democrats hold the majority.

1) No Shut-Out: Democrats have 23 seats where they are playing offense. Of that list, they expect to win at least five seats. That would mean that Republicans would need to win at least 44 seats, not the 39 that currently separates Republicans from the majority.

2) Tea Party Problems: Democrats also point to a number of places where the Tea Party candidate upset the more electable GOP contender. While not as high-profile as their Senate counterparts (and none, as far as we know, has talked about witches or masturbation), these candidates, says this Democrat, are out of the mainstream.

FULL story at link.