Gallup Poll, March 24, 1983: Mondale 47%, Reagan 41%

[bluestateguy]

Good night.

http://www.nytimes.com/1983/03/24/us/gallup-gives-edge-to-mondale-glenn.html

[Davis_X_Machina]

1. Note that's 1983, not 1984. Mondale, Reagan...

...Presidential elections and the economy.

....not only that Reagan's victory was exactly in line with the economic variables, but also that once all the objective variables are tossed in that Reagan actually slightly underperformed

[Ter]

2. Are you saying Obama can win 49 states?

n/t

[Davis_X_Machina]

3. He won't win at all...

...unless a.) Palin wins the nomination or b.) the economy is in much better shape.

If both happen, then yeah, 47 states. South Carolina, Utah & Idaho the holdouts.

[Ter]

4. Um, no, Obama will only win 45 states

Don't forget Alabama and Mississippi. :)

[alphafemale]

5. "I Will Raise Your Taxes!" No Charisma Mondale?

How was it that that guy lost again?

[Davis_X_Machina]

6. He lost...but by slighty less than expected, according to the scholars.

Changing candidates may have made a state or two difference no more. 'Charisma' isn't the answer. Details here.

[Odin2005]

7. The only reason Reagan won in 1984 is because the oil price collapsed.