kalliergo on June 14, 2010 - 3:09am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | Parent subthread | Comments top
"dougr's analysis would go a long way towards explaining Bp's secrecy and lax attitude about shore protection. What would be the point of them bothering to do much but put on a show if things are this bad?"
dougr's predictions are quite a bit more dramatic than those of the best-informed and most-experienced oilpatch people here. The construction of the well makes the "falling-over BOP" rather improbable, for instance. And it seems quite likely that a relief well will, indeed, eventually be successful in killing this beast.
That said, I don't think anyone who is even marginally well-informed on the issue is confident that any fix is coming soon, or that the first relief well will necessarily be successful on the first attempt or without delay. And I don't think anyone would bet that things couldn't get worse before getting better.
A huge part of the Gulf is badly damaged, gravely injured. It's not going to be all better for a very long time. That's plenty of doomsday for me.
"Is there someone here who can explain just what is going on in this video?"
Oh, sure. Dozens of us. How many explanations would you like? ;^)
Here's mine: Viking Poseidon ROV 1 is doing a sea floor survey, perhaps of the area where the wreckage of the Deepwater Horizon landed. Early in the clip, a puff (or puffs) of substances that look like methane and, perhaps, oil, are emitted from a crack in (a) the seabed, or (b) a piece of the wreckage. Following that, much larger clouds of material can be seen. Those are almost certainly clouds of silt stirred up by the ROV's thrusters.
I'm sure you'll be getting more detailed answers soon.
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6599#comment-649810Read on, there is more.