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We need at least 50 to force a Biden tie breaker vote. By my count, including the Republicans, it's 48 - 48 - 4 for Reconciliation.
Let's look at the 26 who have stated to use Reconciliation (according to Countdown). Let's assume we have those:
Feinstein, Kerry, Sanders, Brown, Whitehouse, Bennet, Burris, Gillibrand, Merkeley, Franken, Leahy, Schumer, Reed, Boxer, Udall, Mikulski, Shaheen, Lautenberg, Durbin, Specter, Casey, Dorgan, Cardin, Bingamen, Menendez, Wyden
The following are definite "yes" votes: (22 total yes votes) Byrd - WV; Udall - CO; Rockefeller - WV; Kohl - WI; Feingold - WI; Inouye - HI; Akaka - HI; Levin - MI; Stabenow - MI; Tester - MT; Harkin - IA; Webb - VA; Warner - VA; Dodd - CT; Murray - WA; Cantwell - WA; Carper - DE; Kaufman - DE; McCaskill - MO; Klobuchar - MN; Bayh - IN
Reid - NV (if the votes are there)
I just put Bayh into a yes, seeing how he will more than likely now vote his conscience and the idea to me is that he doesn't support Reconciliation as a first option, but does support the PO.
The following are definite "maybe" votes: (4) votes Begich - AK (being a DEM in AK has advantages. He may be one term and we can use that for our advantage.) Conrad - ND (Since I have not heard a peep from him, he's in the maybe section. Someone help me out.) Hagan - NC (Since I have not heard a peep from her, she's in the maybe section. Someone help me out.) Johnson - SD (Since I have not heard a peep from him, he's in the maybe section. Someone help me out. Conserva-Dem.)
The following are the "no" votes, the Blue Dog, DINO-moles in the Senate: (7 votes) Baucus - MT (expect revenge for Reid's "spine" on the jobs bill. Too asshole.) Bill Nelson - FL (no completely. Too bought.) Ben Nelson - NE (no completely. Too selfish.) Pryor - AR (No chance for his vote. Too brain dead.) Lincoln - AR (COUNTDONW SAID SHE WILL NOT SUPPORT RECONCILIATION.) Landrieu - LA (COUNTDONW SAID SHE WILL NOT SUPPORT RECONCILIATION.) Lieberman - CT (COUNTDONW SAID SHE WILL NOT SUPPORT RECONCILIATION.)
We do not have it. Expect 41 no votes (44 with these DINO assholes).
Right now, it's 48 yes, 4 maybe and 7 no.
I will keep this post up and renew it until I can post we have 50 - 51 votes for the Public Option through Reconciliation! This, coupled with Ezra Klein says the Democrats are running scared of this, saying yes publicly and privately poo-pooing it, and I am less than enthusiastic.
Keep up the heat!!!
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