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grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:45 PM Original message |
Lay your bets down - who can get closest to predicting the unemployment rate on election day 2010? |
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KillCapitalism (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:47 PM Response to Original message |
1. Do you want the REAL #, or... |
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laughingliberal (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:48 PM Response to Reply #1 |
3. That was my question |
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Craftsman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:52 PM Response to Reply #1 |
5. My thought exactly. |
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grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:07 PM Response to Reply #1 |
11. The 'real' rate declined from 17.4 to 16.5 this month |
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NightWatcher (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:48 PM Response to Original message |
2. screw that, I'll go so far as to bet on individuals who are unemployed the day after |
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blue_onyx (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:49 PM Response to Original message |
4. Ok...I'll go with 9.4% |
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whattheidonot (301 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:47 PM Response to Reply #4 |
16. manufacturing ready |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:52 PM Response to Original message |
6. 11%. nt |
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gcomeau (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:57 PM Response to Original message |
7. 8.3% -nt |
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hughee99 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:57 PM Response to Original message |
8. The cooked #'s will show it as under 10% |
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Craftsman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:08 PM Response to Reply #8 |
12. And since these numbers are so blantantly cooked, what other stats |
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hughee99 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:28 PM Response to Reply #12 |
14. Real GDP, for one. |
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grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:08 PM Response to Reply #8 |
13. Well today's numbers are already under 10% |
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hughee99 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:34 PM Response to Reply #13 |
15. Gathering the stats isn't the problem |
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grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 04:34 PM Response to Reply #15 |
24. The stats are gathered by non political government workers in the department of labor |
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hughee99 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 05:10 PM Response to Reply #24 |
28. Odd, because when * was in charge |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:53 PM Response to Reply #13 |
19. Well the model was changed |
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berni_mccoy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:57 PM Response to Original message |
9. 8.5% |
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alfredo (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 02:06 PM Response to Reply #9 |
23. My guess too. |
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taught_me_patience (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:03 PM Response to Original message |
10. 5% |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:49 PM Response to Original message |
17. The meaningless U3 number |
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quiller4 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:53 PM Response to Original message |
18. I think that is too high given growth in GDP and increase in temp hiring |
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hughee99 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 02:01 PM Response to Reply #18 |
21. I don't think health care legislation will have any significant impact |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 02:03 PM Response to Reply #21 |
22. People are still making up for their losses in their 401(k)s |
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Change Happens (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 01:57 PM Response to Original message |
20. 9.3% |
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TexasObserver (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 04:37 PM Response to Original message |
25. I hope your 7.9% prediction is right, but fear it's low. |
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cherokeeprogressive (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 05:00 PM Response to Original message |
26. Directly proportionate to his pre-election poll numbers. |
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galileoreloaded (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 05:06 PM Response to Original message |
27. NSA U-3 12.1% U-6 27% Gonna be a long hot summer. n/t |
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