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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:36 AM Original message |
So 20,000 jobs lost yet unemployment number FALLS 0.3% = 450K people. |
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mucifer (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:37 AM Response to Original message |
1. yup just like the republicans. |
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Brickbat (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:38 AM Response to Original message |
2. The "unemployment rate" doesn't count people who have been unemployed long enough that their` |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:38 AM Response to Original message |
3. They've been gaming the numbers since around July |
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CanonRay (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:39 AM Response to Reply #3 |
5. Yes-July of 1990 |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:43 AM Response to Reply #5 |
9. They have been getting a little more brazen since July 2009 |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:40 AM Response to Reply #3 |
6. I mean they always game the numbers however |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:41 AM Response to Reply #6 |
8. I figured they were going to do this |
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RaleighNCDUer (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:06 AM Response to Reply #6 |
39. It occurs to me that is not so far fetched - |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:15 AM Response to Reply #39 |
43. That is a category in the report |
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Name removed (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:51 AM Response to Reply #3 |
15. Deleted message |
galileoreloaded (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:38 AM Response to Original message |
4. Here is a great chart from ZeroHedge..... |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:44 AM Response to Reply #4 |
11. Ouch. |
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brentspeak (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:40 AM Response to Original message |
7. The White House apparently has Toyota executives doing their work for them |
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G_j (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:43 AM Response to Reply #7 |
10. LOL |
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Political Heretic (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:46 AM Response to Original message |
12. It's not necessarily the administration's fault. It's the standard practice of doing this: |
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ipaint (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:54 AM Response to Reply #12 |
19. Approaching 6,000,000 on EUC tiered benefits |
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DrToast (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:46 AM Response to Original message |
13. Sorry, you're the one "gaming the numbers" |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:06 AM Response to Reply #13 |
25. The workforce shrunk by 3 million persons. |
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mkultra (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:19 AM Response to Reply #25 |
30. starting school full time moves you from cat 2 to cat 3 |
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DrToast (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:40 AM Response to Reply #25 |
35. You're alternating between monthly changes and annual changes |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:42 AM Response to Reply #35 |
36. The headline is spin |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:02 AM Response to Reply #35 |
38. Ok then the manipulation occured earlier in the year. |
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berni_mccoy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:49 AM Response to Original message |
14. Payroll and unemployed persons are two different numbers believe it or not. |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:51 AM Response to Reply #14 |
16. No one's unemployment has "run out" |
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berni_mccoy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:53 AM Response to Reply #16 |
17. Tell me then, where does the BLS get it's data for the "Unemployed Persons" data? |
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Name removed (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:54 AM Response to Reply #17 |
18. Deleted sub-thread |
Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:59 AM Response to Reply #14 |
21. Not true. It is a myth that unemployment is based on unemployment insurance/compensation. |
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berni_mccoy (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:01 AM Response to Reply #21 |
22. I believe I said that. |
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Name removed (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:02 AM Response to Reply #22 |
24. Deleted sub-thread |
Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:09 AM Response to Reply #22 |
27. Not quite you said |
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TreasonousBastard (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:26 AM Response to Reply #27 |
31. Not necessarily magic. Retirement, starting a business... |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:33 AM Response to Reply #31 |
32. Agreed workforce numbers do vary and that is why it needs to be calculated HOWEVER |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:35 AM Response to Reply #32 |
34. Retired people and small business owners have their own categories |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:34 AM Response to Reply #31 |
33. doubtful |
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Name removed (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:01 AM Response to Reply #21 |
23. Deleted message |
Freddie Stubbs (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 09:56 AM Response to Original message |
20. Are you assuming that there were absolutely no new hires during the month? |
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Kurt_and_Hunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:09 AM Response to Reply #20 |
26. There were many hires. The minus 20,000 figure is *net* payrolls |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:09 AM Response to Reply #26 |
28. It's larger than that |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 10:13 AM Response to Reply #20 |
29. No. 20K is net loss. i.e all jobs gains - all job losses = -20K. |
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hatrack (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:00 AM Response to Original message |
37. Nothing new - all kinds of manipulation going back 50 years now . . . |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:10 AM Response to Original message |
40. They cut off your unemployment, then you don't count any more. nt |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:13 AM Response to Reply #40 |
41. Nope |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:14 AM Response to Reply #41 |
42. Ummm, yep. People's unemployment benefits have and will continue to expire |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:17 AM Response to Reply #42 |
44. Nope |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:27 AM Response to Reply #44 |
48. I've never collected "federal unemployment benefits". Please explain. |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:31 AM Response to Reply #48 |
49. A matter of definition |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:41 AM Response to Reply #49 |
50. So you are saying that NOBODY'S unemployment benefit has expired in the last 2 years? |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:50 AM Response to Reply #50 |
53. Can't say for certainty |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:55 AM Response to Reply #53 |
55. Simple logic: both payrolls and reported unemployment rate go down... |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:56 AM Response to Reply #55 |
56. they don't use the insurance numbers in this equation |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:07 PM Response to Reply #56 |
60. Setting insurance aside for a moment, the issue remains...the model can't be accurate if both |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:15 PM Response to Reply #60 |
62. The model is meaningless |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:21 PM Response to Reply #62 |
65. OK. No statistician I, so I muddle through this stuff the best I can. |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:26 PM Response to Reply #65 |
67. "it's certainly convenient for politicians that so many Michiganders ..." |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:20 PM Response to Reply #60 |
64. Exactly. |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:01 PM Response to Reply #50 |
57. Insurance numbers have absolutely nothing to do with unemployment calculations. |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:19 AM Response to Reply #42 |
46. Not true. Unemployment compensation is not a condition for calculating employment numbers. |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:21 AM Response to Reply #46 |
47. Actually if they let the benefits expire |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:43 AM Response to Reply #46 |
51. I fail to see how one definition doesn't fold into the other... |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:53 AM Response to Reply #51 |
54. Nope not used in any way shape or fashion. |
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Romulox (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:02 PM Response to Reply #54 |
58. Thanks for that. It was educational. |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:13 PM Response to Reply #58 |
61. No disagreement there |
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Statistical (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:15 PM Response to Reply #58 |
63. Yeah not only isn't it very accurate it is also easily manipulated. |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:21 PM Response to Reply #63 |
66. Good luck disapearing voters |
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tonysam (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:18 AM Response to Original message |
45. The government is engaging in more "happy talk" |
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fascisthunter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 11:49 AM Response to Original message |
52. I Would Hope Those Posting Here Realize Numbers being fudged |
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Jim__ (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:03 PM Response to Original message |
59. The number of seasonally adjusted jobs increased by 541,000. |
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jberryhill (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 12:31 PM Response to Original message |
68. How many people retire in a month? /nt |
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AllentownJake (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 02:08 PM Response to Reply #68 |
69. They are a seperate category |
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jberryhill (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Feb-05-10 02:48 PM Response to Reply #69 |
70. You don't have to address me as your God.. |
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