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MissMillie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 02:00 PM
Original message
Keep your eyes on fivethirtyeight.com
I really trust this guy's predictions better than anyone else, because he takes polls from all over and "weighs" them according to past accuracy.

Apparently, a lot of today's races are going to be about turnout... so

but I like that he gives Maine's "Yes on 1" only an 11 percent chance of winning.
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Hosnon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yes - I probably trust Nate Silver a bit more than he deserves.
Edited on Tue Nov-03-09 02:02 PM by Hosnon
But he is just so...enchanting...
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I'm always mesmerized by people who completely understand numbers.
Unlike myself.
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Numbers are hot.
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Wapsie B Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 02:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. Yes on 1? Must be some rwinger's wet dream.
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