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Inexplicable upturn in U.S. GDP (chart)

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eppur_se_muova Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-29-09 02:44 PM
Original message
Inexplicable upturn in U.S. GDP (chart)


As this chart from the BBC ( http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8331497.stm ) shows, the US economy was in steep decline for most of 2008, into Q1 2009, but in 2009, the decline suddenly reversed!

What could possibly account for this? :shrug: Did something momentous happen in early 2009?

On a related point, what brought on the collapse? Who could have been responsible for that? Any ideas?

If no anwers here, perhaps I can inquire over at Free Republic ...
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thereismore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-29-09 02:50 PM
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1. It's the long-awaited Bush recovery, silly. nt
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The_Casual_Observer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-29-09 02:53 PM
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2. Economic Stimulus. Otherwise it would have been like Q1 all the way.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-29-09 02:54 PM
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3. When the government spends money
It is counted in GDP. Backout government spending and cash for clunkers the chart makes sense.
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FarCenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-29-09 03:29 PM
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4. Even more curious is 2007
When GDP goes from essentially 0% to 4.5% for two quarters and then back to 0%.

These percentage growth numbers are the result of subtracting two large numbers which are known with limited accuracy. There is a lot of error in the difference.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-29-09 03:31 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Whatever the number is today
It is going to be revised.

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