:rant:
<rant>
I was called by a stock broker today - felt like I was trying to brush off an unwelcome advance from a suitor - it really felt icky like that...
I was referred to this stock broker as being a potential customer (I will not use the word "investor" to describe what he wanted me to be!) by a mutual friend.
What I really wanted to tell this broker but didn't because I didn't want to hurt his feelings or hurt my friend's feelings was that I just don't have any faith at all in the fundamental integrity of the stock market or retirement investing in general.
There seems to be two classes of people in the stock markets - those with inside information who are members of the elite who know people on corporate boards or who are people on corporate boards - and the rest of us who I believe are just better off taking our money to Vegas or Atlantic City, at least there you know the rules and you basically have the same information as the house.
These elites seem to be playing the game of "heads they win - tails I lose" and
like the computer "WOPR" in the 1983 movie "War Games" the only winning move for me seems to be not to playThe only stock I've ever owned was with my employer Kroger back in the 1980's through their ESOP program and then with my bank when it got bought, one of my accounts got converted to bank stock. The end result is that I've never made a dime in the markets and the bank stock (Wachovia) ended up losing 90%+ of its value last year, maybe its part of the way back now but it may take many years before it is ever back to where it was.
I feel like the markets have become far too complicated for ordinary mortals to understand (and I say this an engineer and a programmer who makes his living understanding highly complex systems) and the investment instruments have become far too disconnected from the actual main street economy of making and buying and selling of things.
For the last 15 years I've see speculative bubble after bubble inflate and then burst - there were technology companies that didn't deliver on fictional products, energy commodity markets that manipulated energy prices on fake unregulated energy markets, real estate prices that were inflated through artificial investment instruments designed to disconnect the risk of loaning money from the reward so that loans could be made to questionable borrowers to keep that market rising in spite of the fact that no one was making any more money than before so the aggregate demand should have remained flat.
Now that the market has crashed it seems that the bubble is once again being re-inflated partially as the result of a government bail out of investment houses that were "too big to fail". Yet none of that investment money seems to be making its way into the actual world of MAKING THINGS and selling them to consumers.
The fact that the NYSE is flirting again with 10K only makes me wonder how close we are to the re-bursting of this re-inflated bubble of speculative hot air.
We are also seeing people speculating in currency and gold and oil most recently as the dollar is diving, gold is going ballistic and oil is rising again - all without any apparent connection to actual consumption of gold or oil by consumers or industry. In fact one would think that with all those consumers out there selling their jewelry for cash that the supply of gold would be rising faster than the demand for it and the price of gold should be falling.
Basically, I feel like the very fundamentals of our economy are now officially and formally based on bullshit and I don't know the rules and I don't have the information necessary to make an informed decision in the markets. I would be just taking what little money I do have after paying the bills and giving it to someone else in that market who DOES get the inside info that I don't get.
I know I'm supposed to be saving for retirement and I know I'm supposed to be buying a house (I'm 43 years old) but I just can't bring myself to do it. If I do anything it will be to buy a house if I can ever get ahead enough but even that seems unreasonable if I have to save up 20% down payment and average houses are still going for $175k after their slump.
I don't know, even if I had the money to invest in a house whether that would be wise given that there is still a very stong possibility of the housing market collapsing further - if I bought now and it collapsed another 25% in prices I'd be screwed.
I just wish I could trust these guys, I wish I could have told this guy I trusted him or his profession but I just couldn't do it so I had to tell him I wasn't interested.
That makes me feel sad about my future and makes me feel kind of icky about our economy even though I finally have a relatively good job now after about 7 months unemployment in the last 2 years.
How and when can we get our economy back to the fundamentals of actually making widgets here in America and selling them so that when I decide to buy stock in a company I actually can know about and trust in how they actually make money and add something positive to the universe?
There needs to be a serious re-regulation of the stock markets and commodity markets.
People who buy stocks and commodities need to be forced to hold their positions for at least 180 days (two business quarters) before being allowed to sell. This will put an end to a lot of the predatory speculation in commodities like gasoline that artificially create $4.00/gallon price bubbles that hurt the 99% of us not invested in gasoline futures.
All publicly traded companies need to be independently audited by the government and that report should be the only allowed prospectus for investing in these companies.
The government needs to get serious about prosecuting insider trading.
Finally, publicly traded companies should be forced to provide not just health care but secure pensions not invested in the market as in the old days - this should be treated as a legitimate cost of doing business because requiring people to speculate and gamble in the markets for their retirement futures in the absence of adequate and accurate and equal information for all involved simply is an excuse to steal ordinary people's pensions and give them to the insider elites so they can buy 100 foot yachts with helicopters instead of 50 foot yachts with dingys.
</rant>
Unhappy in Orlando,
Doug D.