I see three major potential problems with mandated health insurance. But before I get into those potential problems I first feel the need to talk about what is NOT wrong with mandated health insurance.
Simply put, I see nothing wrong with mandated health insurance
in principle. In principle, a government mandate that people buy into a program is very similar to a government tax. Our local, state and federal taxes go towards paying for public schools, safe drinking water, Medicare and Medicaid, public roads, and myriad other things. Our taxes pay for these things whether or not we have children attending public schools, whether we use public drinking water, or whether or not we are enrolled in Medicare or Medicaid.
Yet progressives rarely complain about these things. We recognize that certain government services are necessary to the well-being of our communities and our country, and we rarely complain about the principle of being taxed to pay for them. Republicans whine about it as if government taxes are the work of the devil himself. But
we rarely do.
In principle there is a very good reason to have a government mandate (or government tax) to help pay for health care. It is the same reason that we pay taxes for all the other things that we pay taxes for.
Paul Krugman explained it as well as anyone I’ve heard during the 2007-8 primary season, when he criticized the Obama health insurance plan for
not including a mandate, unlike the Edwards and Clinton plans, which
did include a mandate:
Why have a mandate? The whole point of a universal health insurance system is that everyone pays in, even if they’re currently healthy, and in return everyone has insurance coverage if and when they need it.
And it’s not just a matter of principle. As a practical matter, letting people opt out if they don’t feel like buying insurance would make insurance substantially more expensive for everyone else. Here’s why: under the Obama plan, as it now stands, healthy people could choose not to buy insurance – then sign up for it if they developed health problems later… As a result, people who did the right thing and bought insurance when they were healthy would end up subsidizing those who didn’t sign up for insurance until or unless they needed medical care.
There has been a lot of criticism on DU lately about President Obama’s recent words in favor of mandated health insurance. I see a lot to criticize about his plan. And indeed (as I discuss below), the decision to make health insurance mandatory could be very problematic – depending upon the details. But I get the sense that much of the criticism of health insurance mandates on DU is directed at the very
principle of a mandate. I think that’s wrong, and it echoes Republican talking points. That concerns me because echoing Republican talking points will serve their purpose, not ours, will support
them and divide
us in our efforts to create a meaningful plan for universal health insurance.
PROBLEMS WITH MANDATED HEALTH INSURANCEAlthough there is nothing wrong with government-mandated programs as a
general principle, in
practice there can be a lot wrong with them. Issues to consider in assessing the appropriateness of a government mandate include the value of the program to the American people and who has to bear the burden of its costs. With these issues in mind, I believe that there are some serious problems or potential problems associated with the pending health care legislation:
Inability of some people to pay for mandated health insuranceSome DUers have expressed the concern that mandated health insurance will prove to be unaffordable to them. Our economy is in a precarious state. There are many millions of Americans who live in poverty or on the brink of poverty. A requirement to spend money every month on health insurance could push them over the edge.
This is a legitimate concern. But we should keep in mind that it is a concern about a
potential problem, not necessarily an
actual problem.
President Obama said that subsidies will be provided to those who cannot afford health insurance. That’s great. But the question we need to ask is:
How much subsidy? It is certainly
possible that the subsidies will be sufficient to cover the whole cost of health insurance for all Americans who would otherwise have trouble paying for them. We simply don’t know at this point.
Paul Krugman discussed this issue during the primary season, in the form of combating Republican criticisms of health insurance mandates:
The second false claim is that people won’t be able to afford the insurance they’re required to have – a claim usually supported with data about how expensive insurance is. But all the Democratic plans include subsidies to lower-income families to help them pay for insurance, plus a promise to increase the subsidies if they prove insufficient.
If mandating health insurance proves to be a burden for Americans who cannot comfortably afford it, that will constitute a serious problem. In fact, that will not be acceptable. The major purpose of universal health care is to provide comfort and health to those who are currently on the brink of financial disaster. If the program turns out to make things worse rather than better for them, it should be categorically rejected.
Potentially unfair distribution of the burden of supporting the programI said above that a mandated government program is similar in principle to a government tax. Then why not accomplish the same thing through taxation? Wouldn’t that be a lot simpler?
Yes indeed, it would be simpler. So perhaps we should be asking why the program should be accomplished by mandating that people buy into the plan, while offsetting the burden on them through government subsidies, rather than through a system of progressive taxation.
I can’t answer that question. Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that presidential candidate Obama promised that he would not raise taxes on anyone who makes under $250,000 annually. If his health care program is paid for through people buying into mandated health insurance programs rather than through taxation, that could allow him to technically claim that he has not raised taxes on those who make under $250,000.
If that is the purpose of mandating health insurance rather than paying for it through progressive taxation, then it is a dishonest ploy. We should not accept that, and we should call President Obama (and our elected representatives who support such a plan) out on that. We should hold him accountable for his campaign promises unless he can show damn good reasons for backing out of them. After all, isn’t it well past time time that the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy be reversed? Barack Obama
did promise us that when he ran for president.
Of course we don’t know at this point in time whether or not the plan that Obama has in mind, or the plan that will be passed by Congress, will in fact constitute a tax on people making under $250,000. It could be that the government subsidies that President Obama has promised will offset the financial burden on those people to the extent that it can be argued that the government mandate will not cost them anything and therefore will not constitute a tax. We just don’t know at this time.
Subsidization of private, for-profit health insurance companies Under Obama’s original health care plan – the one he ran on during the primary season – a public option for government sponsored health care would be offered to ALL Americans. Given all the
extraneous costs that private for-profit health insurance plans entail, there is every reason to believe that, over time, the vast majority of Americans would opt for the public option over private health insurance.
Some argued that even if a public option was available to all Americans, such a plan would nevertheless constitute a government subsidy to the private health insurance industry. Those people argued that under such a plan, some currently uninsured people would use their government subsidies to purchase private health insurance. That is undoubtedly true. But I felt that it would nevertheless be misleading to say that such a plan constituted subsidization of the health insurance industry, since the competition provided by the public option would drain far more profits from the health insurance industry than they would gain from the few currently uninsured people who decided to use their government subsidies to purchase private health insurance. Indeed, that is why the health insurance industry is so adamantly against a public option for all Americans.
But in President Obama’s speech to Congress last week, he seemed to be
backing away from his original plan BIG TIME:
An additional step we can take to keep insurance companies honest is by making a not-for-profit public option available in the insurance exchange. (Applause.) Now, let me be clear. Let me be clear. It would only be an option for those who don't have insurance. No one would be forced to choose it, and it would not impact those of you who already have insurance. In fact, based on Congressional Budget Office estimates, we believe that less than 5 percent of Americans would sign up.
Oh great! We go from a public option offered to everyone to an estimate that only 5% of Americans would sign up. Those of us who currently purchase private health insurance are penalized by making us ineligible for the public option plan. I’d like to know why. And why is it that only 5% of Americans would sign up? Is it because the public option plan would be so weak that it wouldn’t be able to compete successfully with private insurance plans? Would it be because the vast majority of Americans would be ineligible for it? We don’t know yet, because we don’t have enough details on it.
With a mandate to buy health insurance, and only 5% of Americans using the public option to satisfy their mandate, that means that the good majority of other Americans would be purchasing their health insurance from private for-profit companies. And what kind of competition would be provided by a program that involved only 5% of Americans? It seems to me that this would be a great boon to the insurance industry. It is theoretically possible that government regulation of the insurance industry could offset the additional money flowing into their coffers by virtue of the mandate that all Americans purchase health insurance. But how likely is that?
ConclusionAll in all, I’m disappointed in where we stand now with the possibilities for health care reform. President Obama has gone from a government sponsored health insurance option available to
all Americans to one that most Americans are ineligible for, and which only 5% are expected to use. With that, the private insurance industry stands to be rewarded with massive government subsidies via consumers who are mandated to purchase private health insurance.
And what for? Clearly, President Obama feels the need to do everything he can to stifle opposition to his plan from the right. Saying “We believe that less than 5 percent of Americans would sign up (for the public option)” is a major part of his efforts to do that.
But was it really necessary to go that far? The right wing criticism of the public option plan has been hypocritical and phony to the core.
It cannot possibly result in the things that they say it will. It involves no death panels, and health care is already extremely rationed in our country by private health insurance companies. The whole campaign against the public option has been a cynical attempt by the health insurance industry and their lackey politicians to maintain their currently obscene profit margins -- at the expense of the health of the American people.
A strong public option to compete with the health insurance industry was our best chance to provide all Americans with decent health care. Rather than dismantle it in response to right wing pressure, why not make a determined effort to explain to the American people why it is their best choice?
Providing a windfall for the private insurance industry through a mandate to purchase private health insurance is bad enough. Added to that is the possibility that working and middle class Americans will bear the brunt of the cost, and worse, that those at the lower end of the income scale will not be able to bear the costs without pushing them over the edge into financial collapse. We don’t know that this will happen. We don’t yet have enough details on the specifics of the plan that will eventually emerge. But we can be sure of one thing – The private health insurance industry will be working very hard to see that as much of the cost as possible will be borne by those least able to afford it.