Trippi Predicts Brokered Convention; GORE Nominee in that Scenario?

[kpete]

Trippi Predicts Brokered Convention; Gore Nominee in that Scenario?
by lowkell
Thu Apr 05, 2007

Just a few minutes ago on Heading Left's Blog Talk Radio show, Joe Trippi made some news and predicted a brokered Democratic convention.

"I may be the first idiot foolish enough to say it out loud, but we could be looking at something unheard of in the modern era, someone going into convention with only 30%-40% of delegates."

Also: "What could happen is that we’re headed for a brokered convention...Edwards, Hillary and Obama may have enough cash before Iowa even happens to go all the way. Polls are all basically in dead heats. Not one is going to blow out the other two. If they keep this pace up, they’d have enough money to go all the way. I never thought I’d say this in modern politics that it’s possible to have a brokered convention...fighting it down to the last state."

Finally, Trippi raised the prospect of Al Gore becoming the nominee in a brokered convention scenario: "If there was a brokered convention going on, that could be how that plays out.

more at:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/4/5/123757/7329

[WI_DEM]

1. I've never been too impressed with Trippi. Brokered conventions don't happen anymore and

I doubt it will in 2008.

[RubyDuby in GA]

4. Not impressed with him either.

Can you lose any more races and still have any credibility? I'm still sore about the whole way he handled the Dean campaign. Is it even humanly possible for one person to waste that much money?

[DefenseLawyer]

6. But they don't happen because of money

With a longer primary season, traditionally the candidates have spent all their money in Iowa and New Hampshire and those that win or at least beat expectations, a la the Comeback Kid, use that boost to raise money to go forward. Those that can still raise money are able to compete in the later primaries and just rack up the necessary delegates. But, if these candidates can raise money at the pace they are now, they may already have to money needed to compete in the later primaries, so the results in the first few won't knock them out. Add to that the condensed season, where we will have all those primaries in early February before there is any consensus about a true front runner and it makes it plausible that you could have very mixed results. Of course, I think Mr. Gore will be a candidate by the fall and will go into Iowa and New Hampshire are a clear front runner and render the whole discussion moot.

[rinsd]

11. I also doubt a brokered convention

Once the money horse race is over you have the primary horse race in which how one does in a previous primary greatly shapes the next one.

What could happen is that after the SUPER-DOOPER Tues we have this year you could see all of the big 3 still alive and fighting each other over nominees in states that have priamries in April and June.

Now that may be something to see.

[aquart]

2. Love a good fantasy.

[MrModerate]

3. What I'm worried about is that the candidates are *too* flush . . .

They've all got enough money to scorch the earth around each other. I hope wisdom prevails over ambition, or we could burn up the emerging advantages over the roiled and fractious 'Licans that a lot of us are counting on to turn this election to Dems on national, state, and local levels.

[MonkeyFunk]

5. Every four years

like clockwork, somebody predicts a brokered convention.

It never happens. There's maybe a 1% chance of it happening, and everybody wants to be "the guy" who predicted it.

There won't be a brokered convention this year, either.

[Perky]

7. I have been saying that for a couple of weeks

I don't see any of the four initial contests (IA, NV, NH, SC) establishing a presumptive. and if there is no presumptive nominee than SUperDuper Tuesday is not going to clarify it completely even though there might be some 30 states that have cast ballot.

One would hope that after SuperDuper Tuesday that only two candidates are standing but if three are still arounnd then I think a brokered convention is inevitable .

Oh and Trippi is an Idiot to mention Gore in that context. You don't nominates some one who has not stood for election (that is a smoke-filled room) You have to choose one of the leading candidates. My guess is that it is more likley to be Obama or Edwards, because of the doubts about Clinton's electability they would be even more amplified in that context.

Think about the field day the GOP would have if the party fathers picked Hillary in a smoke-filled Room when whe was not the majority vote getter.

[stellanoir]

8. Ya know. . .

When all these folks on this board post their plethora of threads entitled "Run Al Run," I think and have previously posted that after the indignities and misrepresentations he endured in '00, no one can relate what he's gone through with the possible exception and to a different degree, Senator Kerry.

VP Gore has long since proved himself and has clearly gone through a transformational process that scarcely few can begin to fathom.

To think of him going through the sometimes dehumanizing process of the primaries and debates is disrespectful of the stature he has so clearly earned.

I joke around about Gore being the patron saint of DU because of the "shaking the sign" story, through which DU was initially promoted on MSNBC, during *'s first "ignore your nation."

But in thinking about it, I did have a fleeting flash on a brokered convention.

So I resolved it in my mind with this. . .

"We are creating with spirit that Al Gore fulfill his soul's purpose in this lifetime."

And I visualize Nancy Pelosi speaking from behind a podium with the Presidential Seal on it for good measure.

Dunno how it can happen. Just know it can.

Have a nice day.

[Virginia Dare]

9. Trippi loves seeing his name in the headlines...n/t

[EC]

10. I hope Gore doesn't run

there are already good candidates. I'd rather have Gore as head of EPA

[Pastiche423]

13. Head of the EPA is way below Al Gore's talents

[mdmc]

12. I would love to see a brokered deal-i-o

God, that would be great!:kick: