http://socialjusticeblog.blogspot.com/2006/01/horatio-alger-is-dead.htmlHoratio Alger is dead. In fact, Horatio Alger died 1898, but his fame and popularity stems from a simple concept most Americans regard with patriotic pride: the belief that we live in the land of opportunity. Our British cousins have their royalty, lords and dukes. India has its caste system. But in America, anyone can become President, CEO, or at least a millionaire. In fact, this idea of American social mobility is a fallacy of remarkable proportions. American society is already far less mobile than it has been from the country’s inception. The most pessimistic evidence lists the United States among the less mobile first world societies (behind Canada and many European countries). But even conservative estimates indicate that a person has less than a 1 in 3 chance of moving up a class. At the lower end of the spectrum (bottom quarter), a person’s odds of moving up to the top quarter are roughly 1 in 10. Indeed, it is difficult even for a lower class individual to rise to the ranks of the lower middle class.
But is this a one-sided viewpoint? While someone can easily find studies showing that the sky may not be falling like I’ve stated, it is important to note that even those studies (indicating that social mobility remains relatively unchanged) paint a far less mobile America then most Americans imagine. Take a commonly cited study, for example, of 6,273 families across racial lines. When looking at these families over two generations, the economists found that only 6% of the poorest fifth ever made it to the top fifth. I’m not an economist, but those seem like pretty bad odds. In another study over two generations (again, a study that showed only a subtle decline in social mobility), economists found that a son or daughter in the 1990s was about 40% likely to remain in the same income bracket as his or her parents.
Such a conclusion might be shocking and difficult to swallow for most people. For if this is true, then the rich are rich not due to “winning” in a system of meritocracy, and the poor are not poor simply because they never bothered to make something of themselves. The Ivy Leagues are filled with legacies. The University of Michigan gives admissions preference to applicants with college-educated parents. How many non-first generation Americans do you know who became the first person in their family to go to college? How many college educated Americans do you know whose kids never graduated college?