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From everything I've read, the incoming administration plans a burst of stimulus spending with the (at least partial) goal of of boosting employment through investment in several different fields, specifically infrastructure (roads, bridges, etc.) and developing alternate, clean systems of energy to free us from foreign petroleum.
Now, first off, I think such goals are obviously worthy in themselves, and national action to achieve these is long overdue. OTOH, I keep wondering how this will solve the unemployment problem. From what I've seen, it appears that unemployment is striking, in particular, white-collar office and "service-sector" jobs. (Granted, if any of the automakers go belly-up, it will also include skilled blue-collar assembly-line jobs.)
How will the stimulus plan help these people?
Energy projects seem to mainly be a bonanza for scientific researchers - chemists and engineers.
Infrastructure projects will impact, once again, engineers (this time, of the mechanical and civil variety), architects, and the actual construction workers and road crews that will be doing the hands-on work of building and repaving.
Except for the last of these, such spending on employment would seem to be targeting relatively narrow niche-markets of highly-skilled professionals, in areas where they're probably not having much trouble finding or keeping jobs right now (although I would imagine a severe building slump will affect architects in the not-too-distant future).
What of the rest? Well, as I indicated earlier, these would appear to be mainly "hard-hat" jobs, where physical strength, stamina, and the ability to operate machinery such as bulldozers and construction cranes would be of paramount importance -- qualities in which, I would estimate, a majority of the white-color and service-sector unemployed I mentioned above would be at least somewhat lacking. I would think that, say, the ability of a laid-off forty-something assistant bank branch manager to do as well on a road crew job as someone in their late teens or early twenties, just out of high school or vocational college, would be dubious at best. If nothing else, age and unfamiliarity with the sheer physicality of manual labor would seem to put them at a pretty severe disadvantage.
So, is this the case? Or am I missing something? Is it true, as it appears to me, that Obama's stimulus plan, however laudable, would be of little specific benefit to those whose employment has been the most affected in the current recession? I'm not saying that such a plan shouldn't be attempted; as I said before, the benefits from energy and infrastructure investment will be huge. But I can't help thinking that, as a plan to ease the unemployment burden, get more money in the pockets of those most hurt by the downturn, and thus get the economy moving again, it may prove seriously ineffective. Can you please show me where I'm wrong on this?
:shrug:
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