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Eye on the Senate: Chambliss Ahead in Georgia

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:25 PM
Original message
Eye on the Senate: Chambliss Ahead in Georgia
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http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/2008/11/eye-on-the-senate-chambliss-ah.html

Eye on the Senate: Chambliss Ahead in Georgia

November 28, 2008 12:30 PM


First-term Republican Sen. Saxby Chambliss holds a 52 percent to 46 percent lead over Democratic challenger James Martin), a former state representative, in their Dec. 2 runoff battle, according to a Research 2000 survey conducted Nov. 23-25. Two percent are undecided and the margin of error is 4 points.

Research 2000 makes the same observation that Public Policy Polling did in its Nov. 22-23 poll: that Chambliss has been able to widen his lead because, this time around, Barack Obama is not on the ballot to lure a larger turnout. PPP had Chambliss leading Martin 53 percent to 41 percent.

An InsiderAdvantage/Politico poll conducted Nov. 23 had Chambliss ahead 50 percent to 47 percent with 3 percent undecided.

"This thing's going to be a nail-biter. We don't know who's going to turn out and we don't know how it's going to turn out, but it's going to be a close race," said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery.

The runoff was forced when Chambliss fell short of the 50 percent needed to win out right, beating Martin 49.8 percent to 46.8 percent with 3.4 percent for Libertarian Allen Buckley. Georgia and Minnesota, where a recount is going on, are the last two chances Democrats have to reach the magic number of 60 in the Senate, which is enough votes to break a filibuster.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:28 PM
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1. I hope I'm wrong, but honestly think without Obama on the ballot to bring a large number of voters
out that Chambliss will probably win this one.
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Bobbieo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Didn't Palin go to Georgia to help Chambliss?
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. I believe so.
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Blue_In_AK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. Yes.
She's appearing Sunday night at a Chambliss fundraiser in Atlanta, followed by Monday rallies in Augusta, Savannah, Perry and outside of Atlanta. Then she'll be in Philadelphia for the governors' conference on Tuesday.

Hopefully she'll have the same effect on the Chambliss campaign as she did the McCain campaign, and he'll go down in flames.
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Not only that, but outside the cities,
Georgia is still full of people who will vote against their own interest just to piss off the Yankee college boys.

It's the same thing that kept Jesse Helms in office so long in North Carolina.
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mitchum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. That's Saxby "Bad Touch" Chambliss
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KansDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. Guess he'd rather "cop a feel" than "feel a cop"
What a maroon!
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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:30 PM
Response to Original message
3. Turn Out Turn Out Turn Out.....!
I hope all those first time voters motivated for Obama, realize how important this election is-even though voting for Martin hardly holds the same level of excitement as a vote for OBama... I fear that they may not...
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:34 PM
Response to Original message
6. isn't InsiderAdvantage oned by a personal friend of Newt Gingrich?
I'd take any poll by them or politico with a HUGE grain of salt.
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zanne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-28-08 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
8. Help MoveOn make phone calls to Georgia!
I did this on Wednesday and I'll be doing it again tonight. This is the notice I recieved:

Dear MoveOn member,
In the last week, we've made over 9,500 phone calls to MoveOn members in Georgia, signing them up to volunteer for Jim Martin's campaign for Senate-and get Barack Obama the 60 votes he needs to win real change.

But with only four days left until the runoff election, the Martin campaign still needs more volunteers to get out the vote-so we've set a goal of sending them 1,000 more, who together will reach tens of thousands of voters.

President-elect Obama is counting on us to help win this very close race-can you spend 20 minutes making phone calls?

http://pol.moveon.org/ga_senate/?id=15176-5615260-2PIlS3x&t=1

If you haven't made any calls yet, they're fun and easy-just like the ones we made to help Obama in the presidential campaign. Just click the link above to sign up and get started.

Thanks for all you do.

-Justin, Marika, Ilyse, Carrie and the rest of the team

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