US Dominance set to wane - by 2025? Global Trends.

[Deja Q]

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7741049.stm


They include a "Global Trends" document - fascinating stuff. I love tallying and projecting, but apart from that digression there are some interesting perspectives I hadn't thought of before.

[onehandle]

1. All Hail Our Chinese Overlords!

Well, at least I like the food.

[Taverner]

2. So the parallels between the Spanish Armada and Bush's Iraq weren't too off

We've bankrupted ourselves into oblivion

[Javaman]

3. Global Trends 2025 preview contradicts itself

http://westhawk.blogspot.com/2008/09/global-trends-2025-preview-contradicts.html

So what’s so wrong with Mr. Fingar’s analysis?

1. Historical amnesia: Mr. Fingar asserts that the U.S. used international institutions such as the United Nations, the World Bank, IMF, and NATO to its advantage, but as these institutions wither, the U.S. will lose these tools. I believe a historian could make the case that these and other institutions were frequently effective at limiting U.S. power. And if they are irrelevant in the future, the U.S. should have greater flexibility to make customized and task-specific arrangements to address security problems.

<much more at link>

[applegrove]

4. Brazil, Russia, India & China (BRIC) will all be as populous or much more so than

the USA. They will be more and more middle class. They will each have a sphere of influence in their geographic area.

[Posteritatis]

5. I think folks here should pay close attention to that document

It's only a small book in length and very much worth reading. The discussion in it of NGO influence alone is something.