New Research 2000 Poll of AZ: McCain: 48 Obama 47; O leads 54-42 early voting

[WI_DEM]

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/28-30. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)

McCain (R) 48
Obama (D) 47

Early voters (17 percent of sample)

McCain (R) 42
Obama (D) 54

www.dailykos.com

[marmar]

1. That would be the ultimate slap in the face......

n/t

[Sebass1271]

2. what?

:crazy:

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

3. With that kind of early voting, I think Obama will take it.

McCain wouldn't just have to turn those numbers around, he'd have to turn it around and sustain it for some amount of time to make up the difference.

[for-q-bush]

4. Don't believe the polls....

They are conspiring to keep us home and not show up. There is no way McCain is that close in his home state. If he does lose it WOW! But let's get real and understand that they are trying to show us winning big across the land so we'll stay home and not wait in those 10 hour lines to vote (looking at you Georgia).

[WI_DEM]

5. people are not staying home. Early voting is huge and Obama supporters are motivated

and yes, McCain could lose his homestate. Gore did, Mondale nearly did in 84, McGovern did and Stevenson did twice. It happens. This isn't the only poll showing AZ close. If anything it should motivate Obama supporters in AZ to get out and vote.

[kestrel91316]

6. Agreed. Obama voters are HIGHLY motivated to show up at the polls.

They want a landslide, a victory too great to steal, and they want to be a part of history by helping to make it happen.

[melody]

8. that's not the way it works

If we think it's close, we tend to show up in greater numbers. Now that everyone knows it's close people will be more inclined to make the effort to vote.

[L. Coyote]

7. 2010: Napolitano (D) 53 vs. McCain (R) 45 LOL!

I can't believe we may actually win Arizona. And I have a bonus treat for you guys:

If the 2010 election for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Janet Napolitano the Democrat and John McCain the Republican?

McCain (R) 45
Napolitano (D) 53

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/31/11279/222/947/647893

[Arugula Latte]

9. Oh, man. Wouldn't it be gravy if he lost BOTH races?

:rofl:

[L. Coyote]

10. JUst like Nxon, except much older.

Nixon was defeated in 1962 running for governor of CA. Too bad he wasn't as old as wrinkly white guy.